Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 40.38%. A win for Arsenal had a probability of 35.79% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.23%) and 0-2 (5.79%). The likeliest Arsenal win was 2-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.