We said: Manchester United 1-1 Arsenal
Even if Arsenal have made a phenomenal start to the new season, injuries to key players could spell the end of their golden streak at a ground where the formula for success is simply not there.
Man United appear to be finding their feet under Ten Hag, but a continued lack of ruthlessness will restrict their ability to keep their own victorious run going, and the two giants of the game should play out a low-scoring draw this weekend.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 42.7%. A win for Manchester United had a probability of 31.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.95%) and 0-2 (7.17%). The likeliest Manchester United win was 1-0 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.