Eredivisie | Gameweek 34

May 28, 2023 at 1.30pm UK

De Grolsch Veste

FC Twente
3 - 1
Ajax

Ugalde (46'), Pleguezuelo (51'), Cerny (75')
Smal (53'), Sadilek (68')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Tadic (31')
Berghuis (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between FC Twente and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Twente

All competitions

Last Game: RKC Waalwijk 0-5 FC Twente
Sunday, May 21 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Ajax

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Ajax 3-1 Utrecht
Sunday, May 21 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

While Twente have nothing to play for, Ajax's European ambitions potentially hinge on Sunday's result. Heitinga's side cannot afford a slip-up this weekend and we fancy them to claim all three points in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 39.07%. A win for Ajax had a probability of 37.52% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.58%) and 2-0 (5.33%). The likeliest Ajax win was 1-2 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.

Result
FC Twente	Draw	Ajax
39.07%	23.41%	37.52% ( 0)

Both teams to score 63.74% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.08% (

0.01)

37.93% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.82% (

60.19% (

-0)

FC Twente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.21% (

19.8%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.14% (

51.86% (

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.47% (

20.53% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.97% (

0.01)

53.03% (

-0)

Score Analysis

FC Twente 39.07%

Ajax 37.52%

Draw 23.41%

FC Twente	Draw	Ajax
2-1 @ 8.44% 1-0 @ 6.58% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.33% 3-1 @ 4.56% 3-2 @ 3.61% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.88% 4-1 @ 1.85% 4-2 @ 1.46% 4-0 @ 1.17% Other @ 3.21% Total : 39.07%	1-1 @ 10.42% 2-2 @ 6.68% 0-0 @ 4.06% 3-3 @ 1.9% Other @ 0.34% Total : 23.41%	1-2 @ 8.25% 0-1 @ 6.43% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.09% 1-3 @ 4.36% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.53% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.69% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.72% 2-4 @ 1.4% 0-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.99% Total : 37.52%