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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 49.26%. A win for Emmen had a probability of 26.69% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.55%) and 0-2 (8.09%). The likeliest Emmen win was 1-0 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.
Result | ||
Emmen | Draw | FC Twente |
26.69% ( 0.1) | 24.04% ( 0.05) | 49.26% ( -0.15) |
Both teams to score 56.48% ( -0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.68% ( -0.13) | 45.31% ( 0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.35% ( -0.13) | 67.65% ( 0.12) |
Emmen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.28% ( 0) | 30.71% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.03% ( 0.01) | 66.97% ( -0.01) |
FC Twente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.52% ( -0.11) | 18.48% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.32% ( -0.18) | 49.68% ( 0.18) |
Score Analysis |
Emmen | Draw | FC Twente |
1-0 @ 6.7% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 6.68% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 3.95% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 2.63% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.22% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.56% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.96% Total : 26.69% | 1-1 @ 11.31% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.68% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.64% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( -0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.04% | 0-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 9.55% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8.09% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 5.38% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 4.55% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.17% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.27% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.92% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.34% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.4% Total : 49.26% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 9 | 31 | 33 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
3 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
4 | Feyenoord | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 25 |
5 | FC Twente | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 22 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 17 |
8 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
9 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 14 |
13 | Groningen | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 12 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Heracles | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 31 | -21 | 4 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |