Eredivisie | Gameweek 26

Mar 18, 2023 at 5.45pm UK

JenS Vesting

Emmen
0 - 2
Sparta

FT(HT: 0-1)

Saito (44'), van Crooij (89')
Kitolano (86'), Steijn (87'), Eerdhuijzen (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Emmen and Sparta Rotterdam, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Emmen

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Emmen 2-0 Excelsior
Saturday, March 11 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sparta Rotterdam

All competitions

Last Game: Sparta 3-1 Vitesse
Saturday, March 11 at 8pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

We said: Emmen 1-1 Sparta Rotterdam

Sparta have had the upper hand in this fixture of late, but they have not claimed an away win over their hosts since 2015. We are backing a share of the spoils with the teams settling for a point apiece come the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emmen win with a probability of 54.1%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 21.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Emmen win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.11%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for a Sparta Rotterdam win it was 0-1 (6.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result
Emmen	Draw	Sparta Rotterdam
54.1% ( -1.02)	24.37% ( 0.07)	21.53% ( 0.94)

Both teams to score 49.77% (

1.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.56% (

0.76)

51.44% (

-0.76)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.75% (

0.65)

73.25% (

-0.66)

Emmen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.06% (

-0.11)

18.94% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.55% (

-0.17)

50.45% (

0.17)

Sparta Rotterdam Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.4% (

1.4)

38.59% (

-1.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.66% (

1.3)

75.34% (

-1.31)

Score Analysis

Emmen 54.09%

Sparta Rotterdam 21.53%

Draw 24.36%

Emmen	Draw	Sparta Rotterdam
1-0 @ 12.16% ( -0.41) 2-0 @ 10.11% ( -0.38) 2-1 @ 9.63% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.61% ( -0.23) 3-1 @ 5.34% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.54% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 2.34% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 2.22% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.07% Total : 54.09%	1-1 @ 11.57% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.31% ( -0.22) 2-2 @ 4.59% ( 0.18) Other @ 0.89% Total : 24.36%	0-1 @ 6.96% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 5.51% ( 0.23) 0-2 @ 3.31% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.14) 2-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.11) 0-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.09) Other @ 1.49% Total : 21.53%