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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 37.74%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 36.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (6.22%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 1-0 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
36.53% ( 0.93) | 25.72% ( -0.28) | 37.74% ( -0.65) |
Both teams to score 55.2% ( 1.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.06% ( 1.28) | 48.94% ( -1.28) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.97% ( 1.15) | 71.02% ( -1.15) |
Fortuna Sittard Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.96% ( 1.14) | 26.04% ( -1.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.92% ( 1.51) | 61.08% ( -1.51) |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.63% ( 0.23) | 25.36% ( -0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.84% ( 0.32) | 60.16% ( -0.32) |
Score Analysis |
Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
1-0 @ 8.89% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 8.2% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 5.98% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 3.68% ( 0.19) 3-0 @ 2.68% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 2.52% ( 0.14) 4-1 @ 1.24% ( 0.1) 4-0 @ 0.9% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.44% Total : 36.53% | 1-1 @ 12.19% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 6.6% ( -0.35) 2-2 @ 5.63% ( 0.15) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.72% | 0-1 @ 9.06% ( -0.42) 1-2 @ 8.36% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 6.22% ( -0.25) 1-3 @ 3.82% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.84% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.57% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 1.31% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.58% Total : 37.74% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 17 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 59 | 13 | 46 | 45 |
2 | Ajax | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 39 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 25 |
9 | Willem II | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 22 |
10 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
11 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |