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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 46.25%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 28.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.3%) and 0-2 (7.74%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 1-0 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Heerenveen |
28.93% ( -0.44) | 24.81% ( 0.19) | 46.25% ( 0.24) |
Both teams to score 55.63% ( -0.93) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.77% ( -1.1) | 47.22% ( 1.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.54% ( -1.03) | 69.45% ( 1.03) |
Fortuna Sittard Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.95% ( -0.87) | 30.04% ( 0.87) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.83% ( -1.06) | 66.17% ( 1.06) |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.52% ( -0.35) | 20.48% ( 0.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.05% ( -0.55) | 52.95% ( 0.55) |
Score Analysis |
Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Heerenveen |
1-0 @ 7.4% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 7.05% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 4.45% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.83% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 1.78% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.18% Total : 28.93% | 1-1 @ 11.73% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 6.15% ( 0.28) 2-2 @ 5.59% ( -0.13) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.81% | 0-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.34) 1-2 @ 9.3% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.74% ( 0.19) 1-3 @ 4.92% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 4.09% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.96% ( -0.1) 1-4 @ 1.95% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 1.62% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.75% Total : 46.25% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 37 | 9 | 28 | 30 |
2 | Ajax | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 25 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 25 |
4 | Feyenoord | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 22 |
5 | FC Twente | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 21 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 17 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 15 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 15 |
10 | NECNijmegen | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 13 |
11 | Willem II | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 12 |
12 | Heracles | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 12 |
13 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 11 |
14 | Heerenveen | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 11 |
15 | Groningen | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 9 |
16 | PEC Zwolle | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 9 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 23 | -18 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 10 | 28 | -18 | 4 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |