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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 39.07%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 37.16% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.99%) and 0-2 (5.53%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 2-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
RKC Waalwijk | Draw | Heerenveen |
37.16% ( 1.44) | 23.76% ( 0.04) | 39.07% ( -1.48) |
Both teams to score 62.36% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.29% ( -0.06) | 39.7% ( 0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.94% ( -0.07) | 62.06% ( 0.07) |
RKC Waalwijk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.51% ( 0.71) | 21.49% ( -0.71) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.46% ( 1.08) | 54.53% ( -1.08) |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.43% ( -0.71) | 20.56% ( 0.71) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.91% ( -1.14) | 53.09% ( 1.14) |
Score Analysis |
RKC Waalwijk | Draw | Heerenveen |
2-1 @ 8.26% ( 0.19) 1-0 @ 6.8% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 5.22% ( 0.23) 3-1 @ 4.23% ( 0.19) 3-2 @ 3.35% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 2.68% ( 0.17) 4-1 @ 1.63% ( 0.1) 4-2 @ 1.29% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.68% Total : 37.16% | 1-1 @ 10.74% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.53% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.42% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.77% ( 0) Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.75% | 1-2 @ 8.5% ( -0.17) 0-1 @ 6.99% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.23) 1-3 @ 4.48% ( -0.19) 2-3 @ 3.45% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 2.91% ( -0.19) 1-4 @ 1.77% ( -0.12) 2-4 @ 1.36% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.93% Total : 39.07% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 37 | 9 | 28 | 30 |
2 | Ajax | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 25 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 25 |
4 | Feyenoord | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 22 |
5 | FC Twente | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 21 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 17 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 15 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 15 |
10 | NECNijmegen | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 13 |
11 | Willem II | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 12 |
12 | Heracles | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 12 |
13 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 11 |
14 | Heerenveen | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 11 |
15 | Groningen | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 9 |
16 | PEC Zwolle | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 9 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 23 | -18 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 10 | 28 | -18 | 4 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |