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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 39.07%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 37.16% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.99%) and 0-2 (5.53%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 2-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
RKC Waalwijk | Draw | Heerenveen |
37.16% ( 1.44) | 23.76% ( 0.04) | 39.07% ( -1.48) |
Both teams to score 62.36% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.29% ( -0.06) | 39.7% ( 0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.94% ( -0.07) | 62.06% ( 0.07) |
RKC Waalwijk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.51% ( 0.71) | 21.49% ( -0.71) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.46% ( 1.08) | 54.53% ( -1.08) |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.43% ( -0.71) | 20.56% ( 0.71) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.91% ( -1.14) | 53.09% ( 1.14) |
Score Analysis |
RKC Waalwijk | Draw | Heerenveen |
2-1 @ 8.26% ( 0.19) 1-0 @ 6.8% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 5.22% ( 0.23) 3-1 @ 4.23% ( 0.19) 3-2 @ 3.35% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 2.68% ( 0.17) 4-1 @ 1.63% ( 0.1) 4-2 @ 1.29% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.68% Total : 37.16% | 1-1 @ 10.74% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.53% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.42% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.77% ( 0) Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.75% | 1-2 @ 8.5% ( -0.17) 0-1 @ 6.99% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.23) 1-3 @ 4.48% ( -0.19) 2-3 @ 3.45% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 2.91% ( -0.19) 1-4 @ 1.77% ( -0.12) 2-4 @ 1.36% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.93% Total : 39.07% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 17 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 59 | 13 | 46 | 45 |
2 | Ajax | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 39 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 25 |
9 | Willem II | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 22 |
10 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
11 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |