MX23RW : Wednesday, March 19 14:03:26| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Heerenveen
Eredivisie | Gameweek 16
Jan 14, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Abe Lenstra Stadion
AZ Alkmaar

Heerenveen
0 - 2
AZ

FT(HT: 0-1)
de Wit (33'), Reijnders (46')
Sugawara (54'), Reijnders (59'), Karlsson (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Heerenveen and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: RKC Waalwijk 0-0 Heerenveen
Saturday, January 7 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: AZ 1-1 Vitesse
Saturday, January 7 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: Heerenveen 0-2 AZ Alkmaar

AZ Alkmaar's away record speaks for itself, so it is difficult to imagine that they will not get a positive result here. The hosts will put up a decent fight, but we expect the away side to prevail with all three points on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 39.59%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 34.47% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 1-0 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for AZ Alkmaar in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for AZ Alkmaar.

Result
HeerenveenDrawAZ Alkmaar
34.47% (-1.041 -1.04) 25.94% (-0.07 -0.07) 39.59% (1.117 1.12)
Both teams to score 54.21% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.9% (0.175 0.18)50.1% (-0.17100000000001 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.93% (0.155 0.16)72.07% (-0.15000000000001 -0.15)
Heerenveen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.19% (-0.544 -0.54)27.81% (0.549 0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.6% (-0.703 -0.7)63.4% (0.707 0.71)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.1% (0.682 0.68)24.9% (-0.677 -0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.48% (0.935 0.94)59.52% (-0.93 -0.93)
Score Analysis
    Heerenveen 34.47%
    AZ Alkmaar 39.59%
    Draw 25.94%
HeerenveenDrawAZ Alkmaar
1-0 @ 8.86% (-0.2 -0.2)
2-1 @ 7.88% (-0.145 -0.15)
2-0 @ 5.67% (-0.218 -0.22)
3-1 @ 3.36% (-0.115 -0.12)
3-0 @ 2.42% (-0.132 -0.13)
3-2 @ 2.34% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.08% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 34.47%
1-1 @ 12.32% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.93% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.48% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.08% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.94%
0-1 @ 9.63% (0.121 0.12)
1-2 @ 8.57% (0.141 0.14)
0-2 @ 6.69% (0.211 0.21)
1-3 @ 3.97% (0.141 0.14)
0-3 @ 3.1% (0.156 0.16)
2-3 @ 2.54% (0.052 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.38% (0.075 0.08)
0-4 @ 1.08% (0.074 0.07)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 39.59%

How you voted: Heerenveen vs AZ

Heerenveen
Draw
AZ Alkmaar
Heerenveen
24.0%
Draw
16.0%
AZ Alkmaar
60.0%
25
Head to Head
May 22, 2022 1.30pm
AZ
2-0
Heerenveen
De Wit (5'), Aboukhlal (88')
Pavlidis (24'), Milos (41'), Martins Indi (45+1'), Aboukhlal (89')
May 19, 2022 5.45pm
Heerenveen
3-2
AZ
Van Hooijdonk (58'), Sarr (90'), Halilovic (90+4')
van Hooijdonk (4'), van Ewijk (20'), Haye (68')
Evjen (59'), Pavlidis (65')
Karlsson (79')
Apr 23, 2022 5.45pm
AZ
2-1
Heerenveen
Karlsson (44'), Reijnders (87')
Clasie (13')
Sarr (7')
Zaal (84'), Mulder (85')
Aug 29, 2021 3.45pm
Feb 14, 2021 11.15am
AZ
3-1
Heerenveen
Stengs (20'), Koopmeiners (47' pen.), Gudmundsson (81')
Hatzidiakos (60')
Schone (54')
Paul van Hecke (46'), Kongolo (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Ajax26204255203564
2PSV EindhovenPSV26184478304858
3FC UtrechtUtrecht2614754639749
4Feyenoord25138454292547
5FC Twente26137652371546
6AZ AlkmaarAZ25135742261644
7Go Ahead Eagles2613584740744
8Fortuna SittardSittard2695123243-1132
9Groningen2587102433-931
10Heerenveen2687113246-1431
11NECNijmegen2685133737029
12NAC BredaNAC Breda2685132844-1629
13Heracles26610103347-1428
14PEC Zwolle2668123041-1126
15Sparta RotterdamSparta26510112535-1025
16Willem II2666142842-1424
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk2545163252-2017
18Almere CityAlmere City2636171650-3415


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