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Ajax
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Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
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NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
NEC
Eredivisie | Gameweek 19
Jan 28, 2023 at 7pm UK
Goffertstadion
Sparta Rotterdam logo

Nijmegen
1 - 1
Sparta

Marques (80')
Marquez (76')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Verschueren (58')
Eerdhuijzen (56'), Kitolano (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between NEC and Sparta Rotterdam, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Feyenoord 2-0 Nijmegen
Wednesday, January 25 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Sparta 0-0 RKC Waalwijk
Tuesday, January 24 at 8pm in Eredivisie

We said: NEC 1-1 Sparta Rotterdam

Sparta have been extremely frugal at the defensive end of the pitch recently, but we expect NEC to get on the scoresheet here. We can also see the teams nullifying the threat of each other en route to a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 37.6%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 36.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (6.21%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 0-1 (8.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
NECDrawSparta Rotterdam
37.6% (-0.64100000000001 -0.64) 25.77% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04) 36.62% (0.681 0.68)
Both teams to score 55.02% (0.187 0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.83% (0.22000000000001 0.22)49.16% (-0.219 -0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.77% (0.199 0.2)71.23% (-0.199 -0.2)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.45% (-0.249 -0.25)25.54% (0.249 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.59% (-0.341 -0.34)60.41% (0.342 0.34)
Sparta Rotterdam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.9% (0.498 0.5)26.1% (-0.495 -0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.84% (0.661 0.66)61.15% (-0.66 -0.66)
Score Analysis
    NEC 37.6%
    Sparta Rotterdam 36.62%
    Draw 25.77%
NECDrawSparta Rotterdam
1-0 @ 9.1% (-0.149 -0.15)
2-1 @ 8.34% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
2-0 @ 6.21% (-0.146 -0.15)
3-1 @ 3.79% (-0.063 -0.06)
3-0 @ 2.82% (-0.088 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.55% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.29% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-0 @ 0.96% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 37.6%
1-1 @ 12.22% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.67% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.6% (0.028 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.14% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.77%
0-1 @ 8.96% (0.046999999999999 0.05)
1-2 @ 8.21% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
0-2 @ 6.02% (0.114 0.11)
1-3 @ 3.68% (0.095 0.1)
0-3 @ 2.69% (0.089 0.09)
2-3 @ 2.51% (0.047 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.24% (0.049 0.05)
0-4 @ 0.91% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 36.62%

How you voted: Nijmegen vs Sparta

NEC
41.7%
Draw
8.3%
Sparta Rotterdam
50.0%
12
Head to Head
Oct 16, 2022 11.15am
Sparta
2-0
Nijmegen
Abels (7'), De Guzman (29')

Elkarouani (25')
Mar 19, 2022 8pm
Sep 17, 2021 7pm
Sparta
1-1
Nijmegen
Mijnans (44')
Auassar (62'), Abels (73')
Okita (28')
Akman (36'), Barreto (79'), Schone (85')
Mar 24, 2019 11.15am
Sparta
1-0
Nijmegen
Ache (40')

Bruijn (32'), Wolters (42')
Nov 18, 2018 3.45pm
Nijmegen
1-1
Sparta
Braken (7')
Bossaerts (59'), Dijkstra (66'), van Eijden (89')
Harroui (84')
Auassar (27')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV17150259134645
2Ajax17123237162139
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1711333428636
4Feyenoord17105240211935
5AZ AlkmaarAZ17102531171432
6FC Twente1794432211131
7Go Ahead Eagles177463027325
8Fortuna SittardSittard177462525025
9Willem II176472119222
10NAC BredaNAC Breda177191927-822
11Heerenveen176381731-1421
12NECNijmegen1752102324-117
13PEC Zwolle174581626-1017
14Groningen164481426-1216
15Heracles163581833-1514
16Sparta RotterdamSparta172691426-1212
17Almere CityAlmere City1723121037-279
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1714121841-237


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