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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 37.6%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 36.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (6.21%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 0-1 (8.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
NEC | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
37.6% ( -0.64) | 25.77% ( -0.04) | 36.62% ( 0.68) |
Both teams to score 55.02% ( 0.19) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.83% ( 0.22) | 49.16% ( -0.22) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.77% ( 0.2) | 71.23% ( -0.2) |
NEC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.45% ( -0.25) | 25.54% ( 0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.59% ( -0.34) | 60.41% ( 0.34) |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.9% ( 0.5) | 26.1% ( -0.5) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.84% ( 0.66) | 61.15% ( -0.66) |
Score Analysis |
NEC | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
1-0 @ 9.1% ( -0.15) 2-1 @ 8.34% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 6.21% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 3.79% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 2.82% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.29% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.54% Total : 37.6% | 1-1 @ 12.22% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.67% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.6% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.77% | 0-1 @ 8.96% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 8.21% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 6.02% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 3.68% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 2.69% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.05) 0-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.42% Total : 36.62% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 17 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 59 | 13 | 46 | 45 |
2 | Ajax | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 39 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 25 |
9 | Willem II | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 22 |
10 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
11 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
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