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NEC
Eredivisie | Gameweek 17
Jan 21, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Goffertstadion
Emmen

Nijmegen
3 - 1
Emmen

Dimata (12' pen., 35'), Cissoko (52')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Zivkovic (44')
Zivkovic (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between NEC and Emmen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

NEC

All competitions
Last Game: Vitesse 0-0 Nijmegen
Sunday, January 15 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

Emmen

All competitions
Eredivisie
Last Game: Emmen 0-0 Cambuur
Sunday, January 15 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: NEC 1-0 Emmen

 We expect this game to be a closely-fought contest given the fact that both sides do not tend to score many goals. However, Emmen have conceded 19 goals in eight matches on their travels this season and have the worst away record in the division, so we are expecting the home side to prevail here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 37.72%. A win for Emmen had a probability of 37.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.06%) and 2-0 (5.83%). The likeliest Emmen win was 1-2 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that NEC would win this match.

Result
NECDrawEmmen
37.72% (-0.241 -0.24) 24.84% (0.081 0.08) 37.45% (0.163 0.16)
Both teams to score 58.37% (-0.288 -0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.12% (-0.374 -0.37)44.88% (0.377 0.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.76% (-0.361 -0.36)67.24% (0.364 0.36)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.47% (-0.292 -0.29)23.53% (0.296 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.43% (-0.428 -0.43)57.58% (0.431 0.43)
Emmen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.33% (-0.082000000000008 -0.08)23.67% (0.084 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.22% (-0.121 -0.12)57.78% (0.122 0.12)
Score Analysis
    NEC 37.72%
    Emmen 37.45%
    Draw 24.83%
NECDrawEmmen
2-1 @ 8.4% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
1-0 @ 8.06% (0.061000000000001 0.06)
2-0 @ 5.83% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.05% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.92% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.81% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.47% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.06% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.02% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 37.72%
1-1 @ 11.61% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
2-2 @ 6.05% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.57% (0.089 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.4% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.83%
1-2 @ 8.37% (0.022 0.02)
0-1 @ 8.03% (0.11 0.11)
0-2 @ 5.78% (0.065 0.07)
1-3 @ 4.02% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-3 @ 2.91% (-0.025 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.78% (0.024 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.45% (-0.004 -0)
2-4 @ 1.05% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 37.45%

How you voted: Nijmegen vs Emmen

NEC
83.3%
Draw
8.3%
Emmen
8.3%
12
Head to Head
May 13, 2018 1.30pm
Second Round
Nijmegen
4-1
Emmen
Achahbar (5', 11'), Sturing (43'), Ter Haar Romeny (45')
Sturing (67'), Verdonk (78')
Bannink (14')
Bannink (44'), Bijl (45')
May 10, 2018 1.30pm
Second Round
Emmen
4-0
Nijmegen
Veldmate (5'), Bakker (8'), Loen (32'), Bijl (89')
Chacon (63'), Gronsveld (71'), Telgenkamp (78'), Klok (87')

Achahbar (31'), Bikel (46'), Breinburg (63')
Feb 2, 2018 7pm
Emmen
1-0
Nijmegen
Bannink (9')

Groeneveld (40'), Golla (60'), Kadioglu (86')
Sep 15, 2017 7pm
Nijmegen
1-1
Emmen
Schuurman (23')
Bakker (90')
Loen (60')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV17150259134645
2Ajax17123237162139
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1711333428636
4Feyenoord17105240211935
5AZ AlkmaarAZ17102531171432
6FC Twente1794432211131
7Go Ahead Eagles177463027325
8Fortuna SittardSittard177462525025
9Willem II176472119222
10NAC BredaNAC Breda177191927-822
11Heerenveen176381731-1421
12NECNijmegen1752102324-117
13PEC Zwolle174581626-1017
14Groningen164481426-1216
15Heracles163581833-1514
16Sparta RotterdamSparta172691426-1212
17Almere CityAlmere City1723121037-279
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1714121841-237
> Eredivisie Full Table


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