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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 74.8%. A draw had a probability of 15.4% and a win for NEC had a probability of 9.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.54%) and 2-1 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.21%), while for a NEC win it was 1-2 (2.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Feyenoord in this match.
Result | ||
Feyenoord | Draw | NEC |
74.8% ( -0.39) | 15.4% ( 0.21) | 9.8% ( 0.18) |
Both teams to score 51.37% ( -0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.25% ( -0.5) | 34.75% ( 0.51) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.29% ( -0.57) | 56.71% ( 0.57) |
Feyenoord Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.15% ( -0.2) | 7.85% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
72.18% ( -0.51) | 27.82% ( 0.51) |
NEC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.75% ( -0.01) | 44.25% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.67% ( -0.01) | 80.33% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Feyenoord | Draw | NEC |
2-0 @ 11.24% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 9.54% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.17% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 8.84% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 7.78% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 6.07% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 4.95% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 3.17% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 3.09% ( -0.08) 5-1 @ 2.52% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.03) 6-0 @ 1.31% ( -0.05) 6-1 @ 1.07% ( -0.04) 5-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.01% Total : 74.79% | 1-1 @ 7.21% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 3.74% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 3.47% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.98% Total : 15.4% | 1-2 @ 2.94% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 2.83% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 1.15% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.86% Total : 9.8% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 37 | 9 | 28 | 30 |
2 | Ajax | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 25 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 25 |
4 | Feyenoord | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 22 |
5 | FC Twente | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 21 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 17 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 15 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 15 |
10 | NECNijmegen | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 13 |
11 | Willem II | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 12 |
12 | Heracles | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 12 |
13 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 11 |
14 | Heerenveen | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 11 |
15 | Groningen | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 9 |
16 | PEC Zwolle | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 9 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 23 | -18 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 10 | 28 | -18 | 4 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |