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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 41.3%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 33.78% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.72%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 1-2 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | FC Utrecht |
41.3% ( -0.01) | 24.92% ( 0) | 33.78% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 57.54% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.27% ( -0.01) | 45.73% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.95% ( -0.01) | 68.05% ( 0.01) |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.89% ( -0.01) | 22.11% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.53% ( -0.01) | 55.47% ( 0.01) |
FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.87% ( -0) | 26.13% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.8% ( -0) | 61.2% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | FC Utrecht |
2-1 @ 8.83% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.72% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.58% 3-1 @ 4.44% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.31% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.98% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.68% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.25% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0) Other @ 2.39% Total : 41.3% | 1-1 @ 11.7% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.93% 0-0 @ 5.78% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.33% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.92% | 1-2 @ 7.85% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.75% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.2% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.51% 2-3 @ 2.65% 0-3 @ 2.33% 1-4 @ 1.18% Other @ 3.31% Total : 33.78% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 9 | 31 | 33 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
3 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
4 | Feyenoord | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 25 |
5 | FC Twente | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 22 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 17 |
8 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
9 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 14 |
13 | Groningen | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 12 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Heracles | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 31 | -21 | 4 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |