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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 54.87%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 21.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.84%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 0-1 (6.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for FC Utrecht in this match.
Result | ||
FC Utrecht | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
54.87% ( -0.72) | 23.65% ( 0.36) | 21.48% ( 0.35) |
Both teams to score 51.86% ( -0.65) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.36% ( -1.11) | 48.63% ( 1.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.25% ( -1.02) | 70.75% ( 1.01) |
FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.4% ( -0.66) | 17.6% ( 0.66) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.83% ( -1.16) | 48.17% ( 1.16) |
SBV Excelsior Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.94% ( -0.27) | 37.06% ( 0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.15% ( -0.27) | 73.85% ( 0.27) |
Score Analysis |
FC Utrecht | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
1-0 @ 11.33% ( 0.27) 2-0 @ 9.84% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.77% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 5.7% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 5.66% ( -0.16) 3-2 @ 2.81% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 2.48% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 2.46% ( -0.12) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.6% Total : 54.87% | 1-1 @ 11.24% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 6.52% ( 0.29) 2-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.65% | 0-1 @ 6.47% ( 0.24) 1-2 @ 5.58% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 3.21% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 1.85% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.69% Total : 21.48% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 37 | 9 | 28 | 30 |
2 | Ajax | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 25 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 25 |
4 | Feyenoord | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 22 |
5 | FC Twente | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 21 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 17 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 15 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 15 |
10 | NECNijmegen | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 13 |
11 | Willem II | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 12 |
12 | Heracles | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 12 |
13 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 11 |
14 | Heerenveen | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 11 |
15 | Groningen | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 9 |
16 | PEC Zwolle | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 9 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 23 | -18 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 10 | 28 | -18 | 4 |
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