MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 13:52:13| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
FC Utrecht
Eredivisie | Gameweek 18
Jan 25, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stadion Galgenwaard
Excelsior

Utrecht
1 - 0
Excelsior

Douvikas (6')
Booth (57')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Koopmeiners (45+1'), Azarkan (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Eredivisie clash between FC Utrecht and SBV Excelsior, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: FC Twente 2-0 Utrecht
Sunday, January 22 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Excelsior 2-0 Volendam
Friday, January 20 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: FC Utrecht 1-1 SBV Excelsior

With the visitors being in the better form, they will fancy their chances of collecting another three points on Wednesday. However, Utrecht are a solid team on home territory, leading us to predict a low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 54.87%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 21.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.84%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 0-1 (6.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for FC Utrecht in this match.

Result
FC UtrechtDrawSBV Excelsior
54.87% (-0.718 -0.72) 23.65% (0.362 0.36) 21.48% (0.353 0.35)
Both teams to score 51.86% (-0.64700000000001 -0.65)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.36% (-1.108 -1.11)48.63% (1.104 1.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.25% (-1.016 -1.02)70.75% (1.012 1.01)
FC Utrecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.4% (-0.664 -0.66)17.6% (0.661 0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.83% (-1.163 -1.16)48.17% (1.161 1.16)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.94% (-0.275 -0.27)37.06% (0.273 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.15% (-0.274 -0.27)73.85% (0.271 0.27)
Score Analysis
    FC Utrecht 54.87%
    SBV Excelsior 21.48%
    Draw 23.65%
FC UtrechtDrawSBV Excelsior
1-0 @ 11.33% (0.27 0.27)
2-0 @ 9.84% (0.020999999999999 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.77% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-0 @ 5.7% (-0.113 -0.11)
3-1 @ 5.66% (-0.155 -0.16)
3-2 @ 2.81% (-0.099 -0.1)
4-0 @ 2.48% (-0.105 -0.11)
4-1 @ 2.46% (-0.123 -0.12)
4-2 @ 1.22% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 54.87%
1-1 @ 11.24% (0.18 0.18)
0-0 @ 6.52% (0.291 0.29)
2-2 @ 4.85% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.65%
0-1 @ 6.47% (0.243 0.24)
1-2 @ 5.58% (0.049 0.05)
0-2 @ 3.21% (0.098 0.1)
1-3 @ 1.85% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.6% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.06% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 21.48%

How you voted: Utrecht vs Excelsior

FC Utrecht
84.6%
Draw
12.8%
SBV Excelsior
2.6%
39
Head to Head
Oct 2, 2022 1.30pm
Feb 23, 2019 5.30pm
Nov 30, 2018 7pm
Excelsior
3-3
Utrecht
Omarsson (6'), Koolwijk (8'), Bruins (26' pen.)
Matthys (81')
Kerk (55'), Venema (61'), Gustafson (65' pen.)
Tannane (23'), van der Maarel (25'), Klaiber (26'), Janssen (59')
Klaiber (85')
Feb 4, 2018 11.30am
Excelsior
2-2
Utrecht
Elbers (22'), Faik (77')
Haspolat (72')
Van der Maarel (25'), Labyad (73')
Kerk (83')
Nov 19, 2017 1.30pm
Utrecht
3-1
Excelsior
Dessers (8'), Ayoub (56'), Janssen (64')
El Azzouzi (88')
Elbers (40')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV1110013792830
2Ajax108112391425
3FC UtrechtUtrecht108111911825
4Feyenoord1164124121222
5FC Twente116322291321
6AZ AlkmaarAZ1152422121017
7Fortuna SittardSittard115241213-117
8Go Ahead Eagles114341519-415
9NAC BredaNAC Breda115061218-615
10NECNijmegen114161610613
11Willem II113351111012
12Heracles113351222-1012
13Sparta RotterdamSparta112541217-511
14Heerenveen113261223-1111
15Groningen112361119-89
16PEC Zwolle112361121-109
17Almere CityAlmere City11137523-186
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk111191028-184


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