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FC Utrecht
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Fortuna Sittard
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NEC
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Willem II
FC Utrecht
Eredivisie | Gameweek 18
Jan 25, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stadion Galgenwaard
Excelsior

Utrecht
1 - 0
Excelsior

Douvikas (6')
Booth (57')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Koopmeiners (45+1'), Azarkan (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Eredivisie clash between FC Utrecht and SBV Excelsior, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Utrecht

All competitions
Last Game: FC Twente 2-0 Utrecht
Sunday, January 22 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

SBV Excelsior

All competitions
Last Game: Excelsior 2-0 Volendam
Friday, January 20 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: FC Utrecht 1-1 SBV Excelsior

 With the visitors being in the better form, they will fancy their chances of collecting another three points on Wednesday. However, Utrecht are a solid team on home territory, leading us to predict a low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 54.87%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 21.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.84%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 0-1 (6.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for FC Utrecht in this match.

Result
FC UtrechtDrawSBV Excelsior
54.87% (-0.718 -0.72) 23.65% (0.362 0.36) 21.48% (0.353 0.35)
Both teams to score 51.86% (-0.64700000000001 -0.65)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.36% (-1.108 -1.11)48.63% (1.104 1.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.25% (-1.016 -1.02)70.75% (1.012 1.01)
FC Utrecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.4% (-0.664 -0.66)17.6% (0.661 0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.83% (-1.163 -1.16)48.17% (1.161 1.16)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.94% (-0.275 -0.27)37.06% (0.273 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.15% (-0.274 -0.27)73.85% (0.271 0.27)
Score Analysis
    FC Utrecht 54.87%
    SBV Excelsior 21.48%
    Draw 23.65%
FC UtrechtDrawSBV Excelsior
1-0 @ 11.33% (0.27 0.27)
2-0 @ 9.84% (0.020999999999999 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.77% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-0 @ 5.7% (-0.113 -0.11)
3-1 @ 5.66% (-0.155 -0.16)
3-2 @ 2.81% (-0.099 -0.1)
4-0 @ 2.48% (-0.105 -0.11)
4-1 @ 2.46% (-0.123 -0.12)
4-2 @ 1.22% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 54.87%
1-1 @ 11.24% (0.18 0.18)
0-0 @ 6.52% (0.291 0.29)
2-2 @ 4.85% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.65%
0-1 @ 6.47% (0.243 0.24)
1-2 @ 5.58% (0.049 0.05)
0-2 @ 3.21% (0.098 0.1)
1-3 @ 1.85% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.6% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.06% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 21.48%

How you voted: Utrecht vs Excelsior

FC Utrecht
84.6%
Draw
12.8%
SBV Excelsior
2.6%
39
Head to Head
Oct 2, 2022 1.30pm
Excelsior
0-1
Utrecht

Horemans (19')
Van de Streek (31')
Feb 23, 2019 5.30pm
Utrecht
0-0
Excelsior

Klaiber (9')

Koolwijk (21'), Fortes (60'), Messaoud (95')
Nov 30, 2018 7pm
Excelsior
3-3
Utrecht
Omarsson (6'), Koolwijk (8'), Bruins (26' pen.)
Matthys (81')
Kerk (55'), Venema (61'), Gustafson (65' pen.)
Tannane (23'), van der Maarel (25'), Klaiber (26'), Janssen (59')
Klaiber (85')
Feb 4, 2018 11.30am
Excelsior
2-2
Utrecht
Elbers (22'), Faik (77')
Haspolat (72')
Van der Maarel (25'), Labyad (73')
Kerk (83')
Nov 19, 2017 1.30pm
Utrecht
3-1
Excelsior
Dessers (8'), Ayoub (56'), Janssen (64')
El Azzouzi (88')
Elbers (40')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV1211014093133
2FC UtrechtUtrecht119112011928
3Ajax1182125111426
4Feyenoord1274128131525
5FC Twente1264224111322
6AZ AlkmaarAZ125252314917
7Fortuna SittardSittard125251316-317
8NECNijmegen125161910916
9Willem II124351312115
10Go Ahead Eagles124351520-515
11NAC BredaNAC Breda125071221-915
12Heerenveen124261323-1014
13Groningen123361219-712
14PEC Zwolle123361422-812
15Heracles123361223-1112
16Sparta RotterdamSparta122551218-611
17Almere CityAlmere City12138627-216
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1211101031-214
> Eredivisie Full Table


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