MX23RW : Sunday, December 22 17:56:44| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
FC Utrecht
Eredivisie | Gameweek 18
Jan 25, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stadion Galgenwaard
Excelsior

Utrecht
1 - 0
Excelsior

Douvikas (6')
Booth (57')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Koopmeiners (45+1'), Azarkan (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Eredivisie clash between FC Utrecht and SBV Excelsior, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: FC Twente 2-0 Utrecht
Sunday, January 22 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Excelsior 2-0 Volendam
Friday, January 20 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: FC Utrecht 1-1 SBV Excelsior

With the visitors being in the better form, they will fancy their chances of collecting another three points on Wednesday. However, Utrecht are a solid team on home territory, leading us to predict a low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 54.87%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 21.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.84%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 0-1 (6.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for FC Utrecht in this match.

Result
FC UtrechtDrawSBV Excelsior
54.87% (-0.718 -0.72) 23.65% (0.362 0.36) 21.48% (0.353 0.35)
Both teams to score 51.86% (-0.64700000000001 -0.65)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.36% (-1.108 -1.11)48.63% (1.104 1.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.25% (-1.016 -1.02)70.75% (1.012 1.01)
FC Utrecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.4% (-0.664 -0.66)17.6% (0.661 0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.83% (-1.163 -1.16)48.17% (1.161 1.16)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.94% (-0.275 -0.27)37.06% (0.273 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.15% (-0.274 -0.27)73.85% (0.271 0.27)
Score Analysis
    FC Utrecht 54.87%
    SBV Excelsior 21.48%
    Draw 23.65%
FC UtrechtDrawSBV Excelsior
1-0 @ 11.33% (0.27 0.27)
2-0 @ 9.84% (0.020999999999999 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.77% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-0 @ 5.7% (-0.113 -0.11)
3-1 @ 5.66% (-0.155 -0.16)
3-2 @ 2.81% (-0.099 -0.1)
4-0 @ 2.48% (-0.105 -0.11)
4-1 @ 2.46% (-0.123 -0.12)
4-2 @ 1.22% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 54.87%
1-1 @ 11.24% (0.18 0.18)
0-0 @ 6.52% (0.291 0.29)
2-2 @ 4.85% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.65%
0-1 @ 6.47% (0.243 0.24)
1-2 @ 5.58% (0.049 0.05)
0-2 @ 3.21% (0.098 0.1)
1-3 @ 1.85% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.6% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.06% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 21.48%

How you voted: Utrecht vs Excelsior

FC Utrecht
84.6%
Draw
12.8%
SBV Excelsior
2.6%
39
Head to Head
Oct 2, 2022 1.30pm
Feb 23, 2019 5.30pm
Nov 30, 2018 7pm
Excelsior
3-3
Utrecht
Omarsson (6'), Koolwijk (8'), Bruins (26' pen.)
Matthys (81')
Kerk (55'), Venema (61'), Gustafson (65' pen.)
Tannane (23'), van der Maarel (25'), Klaiber (26'), Janssen (59')
Klaiber (85')
Feb 4, 2018 11.30am
Excelsior
2-2
Utrecht
Elbers (22'), Faik (77')
Haspolat (72')
Van der Maarel (25'), Labyad (73')
Kerk (83')
Nov 19, 2017 1.30pm
Utrecht
3-1
Excelsior
Dessers (8'), Ayoub (56'), Janssen (64')
El Azzouzi (88')
Elbers (40')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV17150259134645
2Ajax17123237162139
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1711333428636
4Feyenoord17105240211935
5AZ AlkmaarAZ17102531171432
6FC Twente1794432211131
7Go Ahead Eagles177463027325
8Fortuna SittardSittard177462525025
9Willem II176472119222
10NAC BredaNAC Breda177191927-822
11Heerenveen176381731-1421
12NECNijmegen1752102324-117
13PEC Zwolle174581626-1017
14Groningen164481426-1216
15Heracles163581833-1514
16Sparta RotterdamSparta172691426-1212
17Almere CityAlmere City1723121037-279
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1714121841-237


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