Go Ahead Eagles3 - 1Excelsior
Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, October 23 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
for
Sunday, October 23 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
for
We said: Go Ahead Eagles 2-1 SBV Excelsior
Go Ahead Eagles have the upper hand in recent editions of this fixture, and coupled with the added advantage of playing on home turf, we can see the hosts just about seeing off the threat of the away side en route to a hard-fought triumph. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 57.05%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 20.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 2-0 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.52%), while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 0-1 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Go Ahead Eagles would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
57.05% ( 0.04) | 22.33% ( -0.01) | 20.62% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 54.88% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56% ( -0.02) | 44% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.61% ( -0.02) | 66.38% ( 0.02) |
| Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.8% ( 0.01) | 15.2% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 56.17% ( 0.01) | 43.83% ( -0.01) |
| SBV Excelsior Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.72% ( -0.05) | 35.28% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.96% ( -0.05) | 72.04% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
| 1-0 @ 10.1% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0)2-0 @ 9.52% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.23% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.98% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.24% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.93% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.82% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.53% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.11% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.06% ( 0)Other @ 2.63% Total : 57.05% | 1-1 @ 10.52% 0-0 @ 5.36% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.32% | 0-1 @ 5.59% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.48% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.91% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.79% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.01% ( -0)Other @ 1.94% Total : 20.62% |
How you voted: Go Ahead Eagles vs Excelsior
Abdat (34')
van der Meer (79')
