Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 11
Apr 14, 2025 at 10pm UK
Estadio Luis Franzini
Defensor3 - 2Cerro
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Defensor Sporting and Cerro.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Wanderers 0-0 Defensor
Monday, April 7 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Monday, April 7 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Goals
for
for
11
Last Game: Cerro 0-0 Progreso
Sunday, April 6 at 2pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Sunday, April 6 at 2pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Goals
for
for
9
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 52.09%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Cerro had a probability of 20.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.38%) and 2-1 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.27%), while for a Cerro win it was 0-1 (8.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Defensor Sporting would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Defensor Sporting | Draw | Cerro |
52.09% ( 0.48) | 27.74% ( -0.21) | 20.17% ( -0.27) |
| Both teams to score 39.31% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.74% ( 0.37) | 64.26% ( -0.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.63% ( 0.26) | 83.37% ( -0.26) |
| Defensor Sporting Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.88% ( 0.39) | 25.12% ( -0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.18% ( 0.54) | 59.82% ( -0.54) |
| Cerro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.5% ( -0.08) | 47.5% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 17.14% ( -0.06) | 82.86% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
Defensor Sporting 52.08%
Cerro 20.17%
Draw 27.74%
| Defensor Sporting | Draw | Cerro |
| 1-0 @ 16.48% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 11.38% ( 0.1)2-1 @ 8.48% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 5.24% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 3.9% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 1.81% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 1.45% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.35% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.98% Total : 52.08% | 1-1 @ 12.27% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 11.93% ( -0.16)2-2 @ 3.16% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.39% Total : 27.74% | 0-1 @ 8.88% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 4.57% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 3.31% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.28% Total : 20.17% |
Head to Head
Sep 7, 2024 7pm
Feb 25, 2024 10.30pm
Nov 15, 2023 7.30pm
Apr 8, 2023 8pm
Feb 18, 2021 12.45am
Form Guide
