Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 10

Nov 15, 2023 at 7.30pm UK

Estadio Monumental Luis Troccoli

Cerro
1 - 1
Defensor

Tizon (10')
Denis (39'), Alvarez (66'), Femia (83')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Duarte (53')
Pintado (13'), Ramirez (23'), Martinez (74'), Elizari (90+4'), Elizari (90+4')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Cerro and Defensor Sporting.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cerro

All competitions

Last Game: La Luz 1-2 Cerro
Saturday, November 11 at 10.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Goals
for

Defensor Sporting

All competitions

Last Game: Defensor 3-0 Racing
Saturday, November 11 at 12.30am in Uruguayan Primera Division

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 50.84%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Cerro had a probability of 21.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.93%) and 1-2 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.44%), while for a Cerro win it was 1-0 (9.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.

Result
Cerro	Draw	Defensor Sporting
21.32% ( -0.22)	27.84% ( -0.13)	50.84% ( 0.34)

Both teams to score 40.41% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.4% (

0.21)

63.59% (

-0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.1% (

0.15)

82.89% (

-0.15)

Cerro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.16% (

-0.11)

45.83% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.41% (

-0.09)

81.59% (

0.09)

Defensor Sporting Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.6% (

0.26)

25.4% (

-0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.79% (

0.35)

60.2% (

-0.35)

Score Analysis

Cerro 21.32%

Defensor Sporting 50.83%

Draw 27.83%

Cerro	Draw	Defensor Sporting
1-0 @ 9.08% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 4.86% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 3.54% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.66% Total : 21.32%	1-1 @ 12.44% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 11.64% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 3.33% ( 0) Other @ 0.42% Total : 27.83%	0-1 @ 15.95% 0-2 @ 10.93% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 8.53% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 5% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 3.9% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 1.71% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.97% Total : 50.83%