La Luz

1 - 2

Cerro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro win with a probability of 36.18%. A win for La Luz had a probability of 34.87% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerro win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.52%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest La Luz win was 1-0 (11.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cerro would win this match.