MX23RW : Friday, September 27 22:38:52| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Excelsior
Eredivisie | Gameweek 15
Jan 8, 2023 at 3.45pm UK
 
Groningen

Excelsior
1 - 0
Groningen

El Yaakoubi (69')
Azarkan (37'), Driouech (59')
FT(HT: 0-0)

van Gelderen (40'), Suslov (61'), Dybvik Maatta (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between SBV Excelsior and Groningen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Feyenoord 5-1 Excelsior
Sunday, November 13 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Groningen 2-3 Sittard
Sunday, November 13 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: SBV Excelsior 1-1 Groningen

Excelsior and Groningen are neck and neck in the league table, suggesting that a close contest is on the cards here. We are tipping the sides to cancel each other out and settle for a point apiece come the sound of the full-time whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 42.54%. A win for Groningen had a probability of 33.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.06%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest Groningen win was 1-2 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SBV Excelsior would win this match.

Result
SBV ExcelsiorDrawGroningen
42.54% (0.301 0.3) 24.21% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 33.25% (-0.305 -0.31)
Both teams to score 59.9% (-0.095999999999997 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.42% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)42.57% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.02% (-0.080999999999996 -0.08)64.97% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.8% (0.099000000000004 0.1)20.19% (-0.106 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.5% (0.163 0.16)52.49% (-0.171 -0.17)
Groningen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.05% (-0.21899999999999 -0.22)24.94% (0.212 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.42% (-0.302 -0.3)59.57% (0.296 0.3)
Score Analysis
    SBV Excelsior 42.54%
    Groningen 33.25%
    Draw 24.2%
SBV ExcelsiorDrawGroningen
2-1 @ 8.95% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
1-0 @ 8.06% (0.052999999999999 0.05)
2-0 @ 6.45% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
3-1 @ 4.77% (0.033 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.44% (0.045 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.32% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.91% (0.019 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.38% (0.022 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.33% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 42.54%
1-1 @ 11.18%
2-2 @ 6.22% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.04% (0.017 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.53% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.2%
1-2 @ 7.77% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-1 @ 6.99% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.86% (-0.044 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.6% (-0.043 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.88% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.25% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.25% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 33.25%

How you voted: Excelsior vs Groningen

SBV Excelsior
47.8%
Draw
34.8%
Groningen
17.4%
23
Head to Head
Dec 15, 2021 7pm
Second Round
Excelsior
2-4
Groningen
Niemeijer (23'), Baas (69')
Dallinga (105')
Ngonge (45+1'), El Hankouri (85' pen.), Strand Larsen (111', 115')
Duarte (64')
Apr 6, 2019 6.45pm
Nov 2, 2018 7pm
Excelsior
2-4
Groningen
Koolwijk (36'), Bruins (59' pen.)
Hadouir (42')
Mahi (26'), Doan (29'), Cassierra (51'), Pohl (75')
Apr 29, 2018 1.30pm
Groningen
4-0
Excelsior
Van Weert (42', 73'), Memisevic (45'), Doan (71')

Koolwijk (35'), Mattheij (45')
Dec 17, 2017 3.45pm
Excelsior
2-0
Groningen
Massop (8'), Elbers (83')

Reis (72')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV66002341918
2AZ AlkmaarAZ65101621416
3FC UtrechtUtrecht541095413
4FC Twente6321125711
5Feyenoord523011569
6Groningen623110739
7Sparta RotterdamSparta62317619
8Heracles723269-39
9Willem II622210738
10Ajax42118357
11Go Ahead Eagles621359-47
12Heerenveen7214916-77
13NECNijmegen620467-16
14Fortuna SittardSittard6204612-66
15NAC BredaNAC Breda6204513-86
16PEC Zwolle6114610-44
17Almere CityAlmere City6024217-152
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk6006317-140


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