KNVB Beker | Round of 16

Feb 7, 2023 at 5.45pm UK

AFAS Stadion

AZ
1 - 2
Utrecht

Karlsson (86')
Pavlidis (80'), Milos (105+2')

FT
(aet)

Viergever (58'), Maeda (93')
Klaiber (86'), Maeda (110'), Barkas (118')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's KNVB Beker clash between AZ Alkmaar and FC Utrecht, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions

Last Game: Volendam 1-1 AZ
Saturday, February 4 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

FC Utrecht

All competitions

Last Game: Utrecht 1-0 Heerenveen
Saturday, February 4 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

We say: AZ Alkmaar 2-1 FC Utrecht

Both sides have shown that they have goals in them so we expect neither to come away with a clean sheet. That said, we are tipping AZ to narrowly edge their visitors and get the job done at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 55.98%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 23.04% and a draw had a probability of 21%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.51%) and 1-0 (7.2%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 1-2 (5.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.21%).

Result
AZ Alkmaar	Draw	FC Utrecht
55.98% ( 0.13)	20.98% ( -0.07)	23.04% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 63.25% (

0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.4% (

0.26)

34.6% (

-0.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.46% (

0.29)

56.54% (

-0.29)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.6% (

0.12)

12.4% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.72% (

0.25)

38.27% (

-0.25)

FC Utrecht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.2% (

0.1)

27.8% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.61% (

0.13)

63.39% (

-0.13)

Score Analysis

AZ Alkmaar 55.98%

FC Utrecht 23.04%

Draw 20.98%

AZ Alkmaar	Draw	FC Utrecht
2-1 @ 9.62% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.51% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 7.2% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 6.69% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 5.23% ( 0) 3-2 @ 4.28% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 3.49% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.73% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 2.24% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.46% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) 4-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 0.93% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.52% Total : 55.98%	1-1 @ 9.21% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.15% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.45% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.34% Total : 20.98%	1-2 @ 5.89% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 4.41% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 2.82% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.63% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.52% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.21% ( -0) Other @ 3.56% Total : 23.04%