MX23RW : Friday, September 27 22:28:27| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Go Ahead Eagles
Eredivisie | Gameweek 18
Jan 25, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Adelaarshorst
AZ Alkmaar

Go Ahead Eagles
1 - 4
AZ

FT(HT: 0-1)
Pavlidis (38'), Mihailovic (57'), Sugawara (87'), Buurmeester (90+5')
Hatzidiakos (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Eredivisie clash between Go Ahead Eagles and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Go Ahead Eagles 2-2 Utrecht
Sunday, January 15 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: AZ 3-1 Sittard
Sunday, January 22 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: Go Ahead Eagles 1-2 AZ Alkmaar

We believe that history will once again repeat itself and that AZ Alkmaar will come out victorious in this matchup. We feel that Go Ahead Eagles will put up significant resistance, however, AZ Alkmaar will be too strong for the hosts and will subsequently end Go Ahead Eagles' 11-game unbeaten streak. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 52.06%. A win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 24.53% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.64%) and 0-2 (8.52%). The likeliest Go Ahead Eagles win was 2-1 (6.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.

Result
Go Ahead EaglesDrawAZ Alkmaar
24.53% (-0.188 -0.19) 23.41% (-0.609 -0.61) 52.06% (0.804 0.8)
Both teams to score 56.43% (1.806 1.81)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.61% (2.491 2.49)44.39% (-2.483 -2.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.24% (2.369 2.37)66.76% (-2.363 -2.36)
Go Ahead Eagles Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.05% (1.187 1.19)31.95% (-1.18 -1.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.59% (1.331 1.33)68.41% (-1.324 -1.32)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.93% (1.234 1.23)17.07% (-1.227 -1.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.76% (2.135 2.14)47.24% (-2.129 -2.13)
Score Analysis
    Go Ahead Eagles 24.53%
    AZ Alkmaar 52.06%
    Draw 23.41%
Go Ahead EaglesDrawAZ Alkmaar
2-1 @ 6.28% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.22% (-0.475 -0.48)
2-0 @ 3.55% (-0.149 -0.15)
3-1 @ 2.39% (0.073 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.11% (0.146 0.15)
3-0 @ 1.35% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 24.53%
1-1 @ 11% (-0.37 -0.37)
2-2 @ 5.55% (0.213 0.21)
0-0 @ 5.45% (-0.609 -0.61)
3-3 @ 1.24% (0.131 0.13)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.41%
1-2 @ 9.73% (0.065999999999999 0.07)
0-1 @ 9.64% (-0.648 -0.65)
0-2 @ 8.52% (-0.221 -0.22)
1-3 @ 5.73% (0.262 0.26)
0-3 @ 5.02% (0.073 0.07)
2-3 @ 3.27% (0.249 0.25)
1-4 @ 2.53% (0.211 0.21)
0-4 @ 2.22% (0.119 0.12)
2-4 @ 1.45% (0.162 0.16)
Other @ 3.95%
Total : 52.06%

How you voted: Go Ahead Eagles vs AZ

Go Ahead Eagles
15.7%
Draw
14.5%
AZ Alkmaar
69.9%
83
Head to Head
Aug 7, 2022 3.45pm
Feb 13, 2022 11.15am
Go Ahead Eagles
1-4
AZ
Brouwers (25')
Beukema (28', 85'), Pavlidis (33', 42')
Midtsjo (15')
Sep 26, 2021 1.30pm
AZ
5-0
Go Ahead Eagles
Karlsson (4', 83' pen.), De Wit (29'), Aboukhlal (86'), Reijnders (90+1')
de Wit (51'), Pavlidis (58')

Hahn (82'), Deijl (90'), Nauber (90+1')
Jan 13, 2017 7pm
Go Ahead Eagles
1-3
AZ
Antonia (89' pen.)
Achenteh (81')
Weghorst (69'), Jahanbakhsh (85', 93')
Jahanbakhsh (81'), Weghorst (81'), Johansson (88'), Bel Hassani (91')
Sep 24, 2016 7.45pm
AZ
2-2
Go Ahead Eagles
Weghorst (36' pen., 52')
Luckassen (38')
Duits (66'), Hendriks (87')
Lambooij (36')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Cowboys
20-15
Giants
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV66002341918
2AZ AlkmaarAZ65101621416
3FC UtrechtUtrecht541095413
4FC Twente6321125711
5Feyenoord523011569
6Groningen623110739
7Sparta RotterdamSparta62317619
8Heracles723269-39
9Willem II622210738
10Ajax42118357
11Go Ahead Eagles621359-47
12Heerenveen7214916-77
13NECNijmegen620467-16
14Fortuna SittardSittard6204612-66
15NAC BredaNAC Breda6204513-86
16PEC Zwolle6114610-44
17Almere CityAlmere City6024217-152
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk6006317-140


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!