Eredivisie | Gameweek 30

Apr 22, 2023 at 5.45pm UK

Abe Lenstra Stadion

Heerenveen
2 - 3
Emmen

van Hooijdonk (21', 59' pen.)

FT(HT: 1-0)

Romeny (47', 74', 90+2')
te Wierik (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Heerenveen and Emmen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Heerenveen

All competitions

Last Game: Sparta 4-0 Heerenveen
Saturday, April 15 at 8pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Emmen

All competitions

Last Game: Ajax 3-1 Emmen
Sunday, April 16 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Emmen have struggled to find the back of the net away from home all-season long, but we can see them scoring here. That said, we are tipping Heerenveen to come out on top, albeit by only a narrow margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 52.74%. A win for Emmen had a probability of 24.19% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest Emmen win was 1-2 (6.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
Heerenveen	Draw	Emmen
52.74% ( 0.55)	23.07% ( -0.04)	24.19% ( -0.51)

Both teams to score 57.2% (

-0.46)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.8% (

-0.34)

43.2% (

0.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.4% (

-0.34)

65.6% (

0.34)

Heerenveen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.61% (

0.07)

16.39% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.97% (

0.13)

46.03% (

-0.13)

Emmen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.41% (

-0.61)

31.59% (

0.61)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.01% (

-0.71)

67.99% (

0.71)

Score Analysis

Heerenveen 52.74%

Emmen 24.19%

Draw 23.07%

Heerenveen	Draw	Emmen
2-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 9.36% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 8.47% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 5.88% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 5.11% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 3.39% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.66% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.31% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.53% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.31% Total : 52.74%	1-1 @ 10.78% 2-2 @ 5.62% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 5.18% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.07%	1-2 @ 6.22% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 5.97% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.44% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.7% Total : 24.19%