Home > Football > Eredivisie
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 42.14%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 32.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-0 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.
Result | ||
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Heerenveen |
32.78% ( -0.05) | 25.08% ( 0) | 42.14% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 56.65% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.25% ( -0.03) | 46.74% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.99% ( -0.03) | 69.01% ( 0.03) |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.77% ( -0.05) | 27.23% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.34% ( -0.06) | 62.65% ( 0.06) |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.86% ( 0.01) | 22.14% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.47% ( 0.01) | 55.52% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Heerenveen |
1-0 @ 7.84% 2-1 @ 7.69% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.1% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.34% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.51% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.21% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 3% Total : 32.78% | 1-1 @ 11.82% 0-0 @ 6.03% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.8% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( -0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.08% | 0-1 @ 9.09% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.92% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.85% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.48% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.44% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.91% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.69% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.3% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.1% ( -0) Other @ 2.35% Total : 42.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 17 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 59 | 13 | 46 | 45 |
2 | Ajax | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 39 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 25 |
9 | Willem II | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 22 |
10 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
11 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |