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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 42.14%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 32.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-0 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.
Result | ||
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Heerenveen |
32.78% ( -0.05) | 25.08% ( 0) | 42.14% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 56.65% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.25% ( -0.03) | 46.74% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.99% ( -0.03) | 69.01% ( 0.03) |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.77% ( -0.05) | 27.23% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.34% ( -0.06) | 62.65% ( 0.06) |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.86% ( 0.01) | 22.14% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.47% ( 0.01) | 55.52% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Heerenveen |
1-0 @ 7.84% 2-1 @ 7.69% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.1% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.34% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.51% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.21% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 3% Total : 32.78% | 1-1 @ 11.82% 0-0 @ 6.03% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.8% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( -0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.08% | 0-1 @ 9.09% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.92% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.85% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.48% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.44% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.91% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.69% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.3% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.1% ( -0) Other @ 2.35% Total : 42.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 37 | 9 | 28 | 30 |
2 | Ajax | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 25 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 25 |
4 | Feyenoord | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 22 |
5 | FC Twente | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 21 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 17 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 15 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 15 |
10 | NECNijmegen | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 13 |
11 | Willem II | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 12 |
12 | Heracles | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 12 |
13 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 11 |
14 | Heerenveen | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 11 |
15 | Groningen | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 9 |
16 | PEC Zwolle | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 9 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 23 | -18 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 10 | 28 | -18 | 4 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |