Eredivisie | Gameweek 28

Apr 9, 2023 at 11.15am UK

De Grolsch Veste

FC Twente
4 - 0
Cambuur

van Wolfswinkel (12'), Vlap (28'), Steijn (36'), Brenet (77')
van Wolfswinkel (64')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Paulissen (17'), Balk (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between FC Twente and Cambuur, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Twente

All competitions

Last Game: Excelsior 0-0 FC Twente
Saturday, April 1 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Cambuur

All competitions

Last Game: Cambuur 1-2 Emmen
Saturday, April 1 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: FC Twente 2-0 Cambuur

Twente have been near-perfect in front of their fans so far, and it is hard to envisage any other outcome rather than a win for them. We are backing the hosts to cruise to a relatively comfortable victory come the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 76.41%. A draw had a probability of 14.4% and a win for Cambuur had a probability of 9.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.55%) and 2-1 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.66%), while for a Cambuur win it was 1-2 (2.78%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.

Result
FC Twente	Draw	Cambuur
76.41% ( 0.58)	14.42% ( -0.28)	9.17% ( -0.3)

Both teams to score 52.71% (

-0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.19% (

0.43)

31.81% (

-0.43)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.66% (

0.5)

53.34% (

-0.5)

FC Twente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.14% (

0.21)

6.85% (

-0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

74.77% (

0.55)

25.23% (

-0.56)

Cambuur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.59% (

-0.29)

43.4% (

0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.37% (

-0.25)

79.63% (

0.24)

Score Analysis

FC Twente 76.4%

Cambuur 9.17%

Draw 14.42%

FC Twente	Draw	Cambuur
2-0 @ 10.68% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 9.55% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 8.92% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 7.97% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 7.97% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 6.4% ( 0.14) 4-1 @ 5.34% ( 0.07) 5-0 @ 3.43% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 3.33% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 2.86% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 2.23% ( 0.01) 6-0 @ 1.53% ( 0.07) 6-1 @ 1.28% ( 0.05) 5-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.73% Total : 76.4%	1-1 @ 6.66% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 3.72% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 2.98% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 14.42%	1-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 2.48% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.84% Total : 9.17%