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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 70.04%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for FC Twente had a probability of 13%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 3-0 (8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.68%), while for a FC Twente win it was 1-2 (3.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
Result | ||
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | FC Twente |
70.04% ( 1.04) | 16.95% ( -0.39) | 13% ( -0.66) |
Both teams to score 57.09% ( -0.48) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.94% ( 0.3) | 33.05% ( -0.31) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.21% ( 0.35) | 54.79% ( -0.35) |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.54% ( 0.3) | 8.45% ( -0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
70.66% ( 0.75) | 29.33% ( -0.75) |
FC Twente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.36% ( -0.73) | 37.63% ( 0.73) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.59% ( -0.72) | 74.41% ( 0.72) |
Score Analysis |
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | FC Twente |
2-0 @ 9.71% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 9.49% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 8% ( 0.22) 1-0 @ 7.86% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 7.81% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 4.94% ( 0.2) 4-1 @ 4.83% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 3.82% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 2.44% ( 0.14) 5-1 @ 2.39% ( 0.09) 4-2 @ 2.36% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 1.17% ( 0.02) 6-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.07) 6-1 @ 0.98% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.26% Total : 70.05% | 1-1 @ 7.68% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 4.64% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 3.18% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.21% Total : 16.95% | 1-2 @ 3.75% ( -0.16) 0-1 @ 3.11% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 1.52% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.08) Other @ 1.89% Total : 13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 37 | 9 | 28 | 30 |
2 | Ajax | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 25 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 25 |
4 | Feyenoord | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 22 |
5 | FC Twente | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 21 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 17 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 15 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 15 |
10 | NECNijmegen | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 13 |
11 | Willem II | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 12 |
12 | Heracles | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 12 |
13 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 11 |
14 | Heerenveen | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 11 |
15 | Groningen | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 9 |
16 | PEC Zwolle | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 9 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 23 | -18 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 10 | 28 | -18 | 4 |
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