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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 77.97%. A draw had a probability of 14.1% and a win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 7.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.54%) and 1-0 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.65%), while for a Go Ahead Eagles win it was 0-1 (2.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for PSV Eindhoven in this match.
Result | ||
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
77.97% ( -0.34) | 14.08% ( 0.28) | 7.95% ( 0.06) |
Both teams to score 48.04% ( -0.84) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.3% ( -1.2) | 34.7% ( 1.2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.34% ( -1.36) | 56.65% ( 1.36) |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.81% ( -0.33) | 7.18% ( 0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
73.9% ( -0.87) | 26.1% ( 0.88) |
Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
51.75% ( -0.72) | 48.24% ( 0.73) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.59% ( -0.53) | 83.41% ( 0.53) |
Score Analysis |
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
2-0 @ 12.01% ( 0.32) 3-0 @ 10.54% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 9.12% ( 0.4) 2-1 @ 8.76% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 7.69% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 6.95% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 5.06% ( -0.15) 5-0 @ 3.66% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 2.8% ( -0.09) 5-1 @ 2.67% ( -0.13) 4-2 @ 1.85% ( -0.09) 6-0 @ 1.61% ( -0.07) 6-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.08) 5-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.1% Total : 77.95% | 1-1 @ 6.65% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 3.47% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 3.19% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.77% Total : 14.08% | 0-1 @ 2.53% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 2.42% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.09% Total : 7.95% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 37 | 9 | 28 | 30 |
2 | Ajax | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 25 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 25 |
4 | Feyenoord | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 22 |
5 | FC Twente | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 21 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 17 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 15 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 15 |
10 | NECNijmegen | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 13 |
11 | Willem II | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 12 |
12 | Heracles | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 12 |
13 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 11 |
14 | Heerenveen | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 11 |
15 | Groningen | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 9 |
16 | PEC Zwolle | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 9 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 23 | -18 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 10 | 28 | -18 | 4 |
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