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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 44.72%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 32.14% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.1%) and 2-0 (6.21%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 1-2 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | Vitesse |
44.72% ( -0.51) | 23.14% ( -0.01) | 32.14% ( 0.53) |
Both teams to score 63.34% ( 0.3) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.12% ( 0.29) | 37.88% ( -0.3) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.87% ( 0.32) | 60.13% ( -0.32) |
Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.63% ( -0.08) | 17.37% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.23% ( -0.15) | 47.77% ( 0.15) |
Vitesse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.65% ( 0.45) | 23.34% ( -0.45) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.69% ( 0.65) | 57.3% ( -0.65) |
Score Analysis |
Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | Vitesse |
2-1 @ 9.04% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 7.1% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 6.21% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 5.27% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.84% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.63% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 2.31% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.68% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.59% ( -0.04) Other @ 4.07% Total : 44.72% | 1-1 @ 10.32% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.57% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 4.05% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.33% Total : 23.14% | 1-2 @ 7.51% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 5.9% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.29% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 3.64% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 3.19% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 2.08% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.33% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.04% Total : 32.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 37 | 9 | 28 | 30 |
2 | Ajax | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 25 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 25 |
4 | Feyenoord | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 22 |
5 | FC Twente | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 21 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 17 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 15 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 15 |
10 | NECNijmegen | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 13 |
11 | Willem II | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 12 |
12 | Heracles | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 12 |
13 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 11 |
14 | Heerenveen | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 11 |
15 | Groningen | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 9 |
16 | PEC Zwolle | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 9 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 23 | -18 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 10 | 28 | -18 | 4 |
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