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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 53.23%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 24% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.05%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 1-2 (6.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.
Result | ||
FC Twente | Draw | Vitesse |
53.23% ( -0.03) | 22.76% ( 0) | 24% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 58.06% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.04% ( 0) | 41.96% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.63% ( 0) | 64.36% ( -0.01) |
FC Twente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.23% ( -0.01) | 15.77% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.1% ( -0.02) | 44.89% ( 0.02) |
Vitesse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.93% ( 0.02) | 31.06% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.61% ( 0.03) | 67.38% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
FC Twente | Draw | Vitesse |
2-1 @ 9.77% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.05% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.36% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.02% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.15% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.52% 4-1 @ 2.78% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.38% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.62% 5-1 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 3.57% Total : 53.23% | 1-1 @ 10.57% 2-2 @ 5.71% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.9% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( 0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.75% | 1-2 @ 6.18% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.73% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.35% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.41% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.23% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.3% ( 0) Other @ 2.81% Total : 24% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 9 | 31 | 33 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
3 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
4 | Feyenoord | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 25 |
5 | FC Twente | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 22 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 17 |
8 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
9 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 14 |
13 | Groningen | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 12 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Heracles | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 31 | -21 | 4 |
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