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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 63.91%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 14.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.67%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.21%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 0-1 (5.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Fortuna Sittard in this match.
Result | ||
Vitesse | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
63.91% (![]() | 21.67% (![]() | 14.42% (![]() |
Both teams to score 44.84% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.85% (![]() | 51.15% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27% (![]() | 73% (![]() |
Vitesse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.63% (![]() | 15.37% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.85% (![]() | 44.15% (![]() |
Fortuna Sittard Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.98% (![]() | 47.01% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.5% (![]() | 82.49% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Vitesse | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
1-0 @ 13.53% (![]() 2-0 @ 12.67% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.56% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 7.91% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.97% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 3.7% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.8% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.25% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.39% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.06% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.05% ( ![]() Other @ 2.02% Total : 63.91% | 1-1 @ 10.21% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.22% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.61% ( ![]() Other @ 0.62% Total : 21.66% | 0-1 @ 5.45% (![]() 1-2 @ 3.85% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.06% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 0.97% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 0.91% ( ![]() Other @ 1.18% Total : 14.42% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 23 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 71 | 26 | 45 | 52 |
2 | Ajax | 21 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 45 | 18 | 27 | 51 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 23 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 42 | 36 | 6 | 43 |
4 | Feyenoord | 22 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 46 | 26 | 20 | 40 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 38 | 21 | 17 | 40 |
6 | FC Twente | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 44 | 30 | 14 | 36 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 35 |
8 | Groningen | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 22 | 32 | -10 | 27 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 27 |
10 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 29 | 40 | -11 | 26 |
11 | Heerenveen | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 26 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 24 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 24 |
14 | Willem II | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 24 |
15 | Heracles | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 24 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 20 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 17 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 21 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 43 | -31 | 13 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |