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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 55.25%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 20.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.73%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.59%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 0-1 (7.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Vitesse | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
55.25% | 24.51% | 20.24% |
Both teams to score 47.57% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.56% | 53.44% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.03% | 74.97% |
Vitesse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.74% | 19.26% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.02% | 50.98% |
Fortuna Sittard Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.92% | 41.09% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.37% | 77.63% |
Score Analysis |
Vitesse | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
1-0 @ 13.03% 2-0 @ 10.73% 2-1 @ 9.55% 3-0 @ 5.89% 3-1 @ 5.24% 4-0 @ 2.43% 3-2 @ 2.33% 4-1 @ 2.16% 4-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.92% Total : 55.24% | 1-1 @ 11.59% 0-0 @ 7.91% 2-2 @ 4.25% Other @ 0.76% Total : 24.51% | 0-1 @ 7.04% 1-2 @ 5.16% 0-2 @ 3.13% 1-3 @ 1.53% 2-3 @ 1.26% 0-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.2% Total : 20.24% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 13 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 45 | 9 | 36 | 36 |
2 | Feyenoord | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 28 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
4 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
5 | FC Twente | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 25 |
6 | Go Ahead Eagles | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 18 |
7 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 17 |
9 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
10 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 14 |
13 | Heracles | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 13 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Groningen | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 30 | -24 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 33 | -21 | 5 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |