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Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
16 | Vitesse | 4 | -9 | 1 |
17 | Go Ahead Eagles | 4 | -7 | 0 |
18 | Fortuna Sittard | 4 | -8 | 0 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
14 | RKC Waalwijk | 4 | -1 | 3 |
15 | FC Utrecht | 4 | -3 | 2 |
16 | Vitesse | 4 | -9 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 53.18%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 23.68% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.65%) and 0-2 (8.69%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 2-1 (6.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.
Result | ||
Fortuna Sittard | Draw | FC Utrecht |
23.68% ( -1.09) | 23.13% ( -0.65) | 53.18% ( 1.74) |
Both teams to score 56.4% ( 0.93) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.02% ( 1.8) | 43.98% ( -1.8) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.63% ( 1.74) | 66.36% ( -1.74) |
Fortuna Sittard Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.55% ( 0.06) | 32.44% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.03% ( 0.06) | 68.96% ( -0.06) |
FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.49% ( 1.3) | 16.51% ( -1.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.75% ( 2.3) | 46.25% ( -2.3) |
Score Analysis |
Fortuna Sittard | Draw | FC Utrecht |
2-1 @ 6.11% ( -0.2) 1-0 @ 6.03% ( -0.48) 2-0 @ 3.39% ( -0.26) 3-1 @ 2.29% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.07% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.51% Total : 23.68% | 1-1 @ 10.86% ( -0.36) 2-2 @ 5.51% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 5.36% ( -0.43) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.13% | 1-2 @ 9.78% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 9.65% ( -0.34) 0-2 @ 8.69% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 5.87% ( 0.3) 0-3 @ 5.22% ( 0.26) 2-3 @ 3.31% ( 0.18) 1-4 @ 2.64% ( 0.24) 0-4 @ 2.35% ( 0.21) 2-4 @ 1.49% ( 0.14) 1-5 @ 0.95% ( 0.12) Other @ 3.24% Total : 53.18% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 37 | 9 | 28 | 30 |
2 | Ajax | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 25 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 25 |
4 | Feyenoord | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 22 |
5 | FC Twente | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 21 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 17 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 15 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 15 |
10 | NECNijmegen | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 13 |
11 | Willem II | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 12 |
12 | Heracles | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 12 |
13 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 11 |
14 | Heerenveen | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 11 |
15 | Groningen | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 9 |
16 | PEC Zwolle | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 9 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 23 | -18 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 10 | 28 | -18 | 4 |
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