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Europa League
PSV
Europa League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 2nd Leg
Feb 23, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Philips Stadium
Sevilla logo

PSV
2 - 0
Sevilla

de Jong (77'), Silva (90+5')
Mwene (84'), Simons (90+6')
Junior (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Acuna (33'), Kouassi (79'), Dmitrovic (82'), Mir (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between PSV Eindhoven and Sevilla, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Utrecht 2-2 PSV
Sunday, February 19 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Sevilla

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Sevilla
Sunday, February 19 at 3.15pm in La Liga

We said: PSV Eindhoven 2-1 Sevilla (Sevilla to win 4-2 on aggregate)

 While we do not see Sevilla exiting the competition on Thursday, they may wish to manage the game in a professional manner. That could allow PSV to win on the night, but the visitors should still progress on aggregate in comfortable fashion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 61.74%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Sevilla had a probability of 18.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.29%) and 1-0 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.29%), while for a Sevilla win it was 1-2 (4.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
PSV EindhovenDrawSevilla
61.74% (0.17599999999999 0.18) 20.19% (-0.041 -0.04) 18.07% (-0.136 -0.14)
Both teams to score 57.76% (-0.127 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.94% (-0.041999999999994 -0.04)38.06% (0.041000000000004 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.67% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)60.32% (0.044999999999995 0.04)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.13% (0.035000000000011 0.04)11.87% (-0.036 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.83% (0.076999999999998 0.08)37.17% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.55% (-0.17099999999999 -0.17)34.45% (0.171 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.83% (-0.182 -0.18)71.16% (0.182 0.18)
Score Analysis
    PSV Eindhoven 61.74%
    Sevilla 18.07%
    Draw 20.19%
PSV EindhovenDrawSevilla
2-1 @ 9.9% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 9.29% (0.045 0.04)
1-0 @ 8.72% (0.029 0.03)
3-1 @ 7.03% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.6% (0.042 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.75% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.75% (0.011 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.52% (0.027 0.03)
4-2 @ 2% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 1.6% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.5% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 4.12%
Total : 61.74%
1-1 @ 9.29% (-0.011999999999999 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.27% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.09% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.33% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 20.19%
1-2 @ 4.95% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-1 @ 4.36% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.32% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.87% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.76% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 18.07%

How you voted: PSV vs Sevilla

PSV Eindhoven
53.5%
Draw
15.7%
Sevilla
30.7%
127
Head to Head
Feb 16, 2023 8pm
Knockout Round Playoffs
Sevilla
3-0
PSV
En-Nesyri (45+2'), Ocampos (50'), Gudelj (55')
Gudelj (59'), Lamela (89')
rhs 2.0
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