La Liga | Gameweek 19
Jan 28, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán
Sevilla3 - 0Elche
We said: Sevilla 2-0 Elche
Elche have drawn their last two in La Liga, but we are finding it difficult to back the visitors to get something from this match. Sevilla have won their last two league games on home soil, and Sampaoli's outfit should have enough quality to make it three in a row on Saturday night. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 67.66%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Elche had a probability of 12.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.66%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.38%), while for a Elche win it was 0-1 (4.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sevilla would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sevilla | Draw | Elche |
67.66% ( -0.05) | 19.79% ( 0.07) | 12.55% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 45.51% ( -0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.53% ( -0.35) | 47.47% ( 0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.31% ( -0.32) | 69.69% ( 0.33) |
| Sevilla Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.96% ( -0.12) | 13.04% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 60.39% ( -0.25) | 39.61% ( 0.25) |
| Elche Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.34% ( -0.25) | 47.66% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 17.02% ( -0.18) | 82.98% ( 0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
Sevilla 67.65%
Elche 12.55%
Draw 19.79%
| Sevilla | Draw | Elche |
| 2-0 @ 12.89% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 12.66% ( 0.13)2-1 @ 9.56% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 8.76% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.49% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 4.46% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 3.3% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.4% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 1.82% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.35% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.74% Total : 67.65% | 1-1 @ 9.38% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.22% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 3.54% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.65% Total : 19.79% | 0-1 @ 4.61% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 3.48% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 1.71% ( 0)Other @ 2.76% Total : 12.55% |
How you voted: Sevilla vs Elche
Sevilla
82.0%Draw
11.5%Elche
6.6%61
