Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 67.66%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Elche had a probability of 12.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.66%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.38%), while for a Elche win it was 0-1 (4.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sevilla would win this match.
Result | ||
Sevilla | Draw | Elche |
67.66% ( -0.05) | 19.79% ( 0.07) | 12.55% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 45.51% ( -0.28) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.53% ( -0.35) | 47.47% ( 0.35) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.31% ( -0.32) | 69.69% ( 0.33) |
Sevilla Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.96% ( -0.12) | 13.04% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.39% ( -0.25) | 39.61% ( 0.25) |
Elche Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.34% ( -0.25) | 47.66% ( 0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.02% ( -0.18) | 82.98% ( 0.19) |
Score Analysis |
Sevilla | Draw | Elche |
2-0 @ 12.89% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 12.66% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 9.56% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 8.76% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.49% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 4.46% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 3.3% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.4% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.82% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.35% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.74% Total : 67.65% | 1-1 @ 9.38% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.22% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 3.54% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.65% Total : 19.79% | 0-1 @ 4.61% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 3.48% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.71% ( 0) Other @ 2.76% Total : 12.55% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 41 |
2 | Real Madrid | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 41 | 18 | 23 | 40 |
3 | Barcelona | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 38 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Villarreal | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 30 |
6 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 25 |
8 | GironaGirona | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
9 | Real BetisBetis | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 25 |
10 | Osasuna | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 25 |
11 | Celta Vigo | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 22 |
13 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 22 |
14 | Sevilla | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 22 |
15 | Leganes | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 18 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 17 |
17 | Getafe | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 16 |
18 | Espanyol | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 15 |
19 | Valencia | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 12 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 12 |
> La Liga Full Table |