La Liga | Gameweek 22
Feb 19, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio de Vallecas
We said: Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Sevilla
Rayo will certainly be the fresher of the two teams heading into this match, and they will fancy their chances of putting another win on the board here. Sevilla will enter the contest off the back of two strong results, though, and we are expecting the points to be shared on Sunday afternoon.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 38.11% . A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 35.18% and a draw had a probability of 26.7% .
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.22% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.67%) . The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 (9.74%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%) . The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result Rayo Vallecano Draw Sevilla 35.18% ( -0.21) 26.71% ( -0.07) 38.11% ( 0.28)
Both teams to score 51.8% ( 0.21)
46.77% ( 0.28) 53.22% ( -0.28)
25.21% ( 0.24) 74.78% ( -0.24)
71.1% ( 0.01) 28.89% ( -0.01)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 35.23% ( 0.01) 64.76% ( -0.01)
72.85% ( 0.29) 27.15% ( -0.3)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 37.45% ( 0.38) 62.55% ( -0.39)
Rayo Vallecano 35.18%
Sevilla 38.11%
Draw 26.7%
Rayo Vallecano Draw Sevilla 1-0 @ 9.74% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 7.88% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.05% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 3.26% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.5% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.13% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 2.6% Total : 35.18% 1-1 @ 12.69% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.85% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 5.14% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.7% 0-1 @ 10.22% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.28% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 6.67% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.6% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 2.9% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.1% Total : 38.11%
How you voted: Rayo Vallecano vs Sevilla
Rayo Vallecano
Draw
Sevilla
105
rhs 2.0
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