Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 56.39%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 19.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.6%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.28%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 0-1 (6.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sevilla | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
56.39% ( -0.13) | 23.75% ( 0.04) | 19.87% ( 0.08) |
Both teams to score 49.24% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.07% ( -0.07) | 50.93% ( 0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.2% ( -0.06) | 72.8% ( 0.06) |
Sevilla Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.12% ( -0.07) | 17.88% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.33% ( -0.13) | 48.66% ( 0.12) |
Rayo Vallecano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.96% ( 0.04) | 40.04% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.31% ( 0.04) | 76.68% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Sevilla | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
1-0 @ 12.32% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.6% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.71% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.09% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 5.57% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.62% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.55% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.4% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 0.9% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.53% Total : 56.38% | 1-1 @ 11.28% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.16% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.44% ( 0) Other @ 0.86% Total : 23.74% | 0-1 @ 6.55% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 5.16% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.36% ( 0) 0-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.3% Total : 19.87% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 11 | 29 | 33 |
2 | Real Madrid | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 24 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 18 | 7 | 11 | 23 |
4 | Villarreal | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 21 |
5 | Osasuna | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 21 |
6 | Athletic Bilbao | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 19 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 19 |
8 | Mallorca | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 18 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 16 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 16 |
11 | Real Sociedad | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 15 |
12 | GironaGirona | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 15 |
13 | Sevilla | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 15 |
14 | AlavesAlaves | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 13 |
15 | Leganes | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
16 | Getafe | 12 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 10 |
17 | Espanyol | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 10 |
18 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 9 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 24 | -15 | 8 |
20 | Valencia | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 7 |
> La Liga Full Table |