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La Liga | Gameweek 12
Oct 29, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán
Rayo Vallecano logo

Sevilla
0 - 1
Rayo Vallecano


Isco (68'), Bono (76'), Dmitrovic (78'), Suso (79'), Sampaoli (81'), Navas (86'), Marcao (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Garcia (61')
Catena (63'), Iraola (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Sevilla and Rayo Vallecano, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sevilla 3-0 Copenhagen
Tuesday, October 25 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 5-1 Cadiz
Saturday, October 22 at 1pm in La Liga

We said: Sevilla 2-1 Rayo Vallecano

This has the potential to be a very difficult match for Sevilla, and it would certainly not be a surprise to see Rayo pick up a positive result here. Sevilla will have home advantage, though, and we are backing Sampaoli's side to secure an important three points in Spain's top flight. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 56.39%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 19.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.6%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.28%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 0-1 (6.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
SevillaDrawRayo Vallecano
56.39% (-0.125 -0.13) 23.75% (0.044 0.04) 19.87% (0.078999999999997 0.08)
Both teams to score 49.24% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.07% (-0.074999999999996 -0.07)50.93% (0.073 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.2% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)72.8% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.12% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)17.88% (0.072000000000003 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.33% (-0.126 -0.13)48.66% (0.123 0.12)
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.96% (0.042000000000002 0.04)40.04% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.31% (0.039000000000001 0.04)76.68% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Sevilla 56.38%
    Rayo Vallecano 19.87%
    Draw 23.74%
SevillaDrawRayo Vallecano
1-0 @ 12.32% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 10.6% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.71% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.09% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-1 @ 5.57% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.62% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.55% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 2.4% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.1% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
5-0 @ 0.9% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 56.38%
1-1 @ 11.28% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.16% (0.021 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 23.74%
0-1 @ 6.55% (0.028 0.03)
1-2 @ 5.16% (0.016 0.02)
0-2 @ 3% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.58% (0.006 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 0.92% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.3%
Total : 19.87%

How you voted: Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano

Sevilla
74.7%
Draw
17.3%
Rayo Vallecano
8.0%
75
Head to Head
Mar 13, 2022 1pm
Aug 15, 2021 9.15pm
Sevilla
3-0
Rayo Vallecano
En-Nesyri (19' pen.), Lamela (55', 79')
Idrissi (45+5')

Zidane (16')
Apr 25, 2019 6.30pm
Sevilla
5-0
Rayo Vallecano
Promes (55'), El Haddadi (57', 62'), Ben Yedder (69'), Gil (86')
Banega (31')

Galvez (33'), Angel Pozo (52')
Aug 19, 2018 7.15pm
Rayo Vallecano
1-4
Sevilla
Embarba (85' pen.)
Angel Pozo (12')
Vazquez (15'), Silva (31', 45', 79')
Feb 21, 2016 11am
Rayo Vallecano
2-2
Sevilla
Manucho (43'), Miku (62')
Baena (16'), Sanchez (44'), Miku (58'), Embarba (64'), Llorente (75'), Hernandez (93')
Nzonzi (10'), Iborra (20')
Coke (59'), Banega (91')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona13110240122833
2Real Madrid1283125111427
3Atletico MadridAtletico137511971226
4Villarreal127322319424
5Osasuna136341720-321
6Athletic Bilbao135531913620
7Real BetisBetis135531412220
8Real Sociedad135351110118
9Mallorca135351010018
10GironaGirona135351617-118
11Celta Vigo135262022-217
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15AlavesAlaves134181422-813
16Las PalmasLas Palmas133371622-612
17Getafe13175811-310
18Espanyol123181122-1110
19Real ValladolidValladolid132381025-159
20Valencia11146817-97


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