Champions League

Champions League | Group Stage

Oct 11, 2022 at 8pm UK

Signal-Iduna-Park

Dortmund
1 - 1
Sevilla

Bellingham (35')
Ozcan (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Kouassi (18')
Sampaoli (60'), Gudelj (84'), Angel Carmona (90'), Bono (90+3')

Jude Bellingham scores again as Borussia Dortmund draw with Sevilla

Borussia Dortmund midfielder Jude Bellingham scores for the fourth Champions League game running as the Bundesliga side draw 1-1 with Sevilla.

Oct 11, 21:52

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Borussia Dortmund and Sevilla, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Dortmund 2-2 Bayern
Saturday, October 8 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sevilla

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Sevilla 1-1 Athletic Bilbao
Saturday, October 8 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Borussia Dortmund 2-1 Sevilla

Despite the chance of a new manager bounce, Dortmund are a formidable force at home in Europe. The home side also know that victory will guarantee their qualification to the knockout stage and this should be enough motivation to see them over the line. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 38.09%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 32.86% and a draw had a probability of 29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.72%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 0-1 (11.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.

Result
Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Sevilla
38.09% ( 0.36)	29.04% ( 0.15)	32.86% ( -0.51)

Both teams to score 44.51% (

-0.51)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.84% (

-0.58)

62.15% (

0.59)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.15% (

-0.43)

81.85% (

0.43)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.47% (

-0.08)

31.53% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.07% (

-0.09)

67.93% (

0.09)

Sevilla Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.01% (

-0.67)

34.99% (

0.67)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.27% (

-0.71)

71.73% (

0.71)

Score Analysis

Borussia Dortmund 38.09%

Sevilla 32.86%

Draw 29.04%

Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Sevilla
1-0 @ 12.73% ( 0.25) 2-1 @ 7.72% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.35% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 2.97% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.83% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.94% Total : 38.09%	1-1 @ 13.37% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 11.03% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 4.05% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.59% Total : 29.04%	0-1 @ 11.58% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.02% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 6.08% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.17% Total : 32.86%