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Bundesliga | Gameweek 8
Oct 1, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
RheinEnergieStadion
Dortmund logo

FC Koln
3 - 2
Dortmund

Kainz (53'), Tigges (56'), Ljubicic (71')
Hubers (21'), Duda (25'), Schindler (79'), Huseinbasic (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Brandt (31'), Schmitz (78' og.)
Adeyemi (23'), Guerreiro (29'), Sule (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between FC Koln and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Koln

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: VfL Bochum 1-1 FC Koln
Sunday, September 18 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Dortmund 1-0 Schalke
Saturday, September 17 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: FC Koln 1-2 Borussia Dortmund

 Koln have a real opportunity to pounce on Dortmund's mounting injury crisis, with the visitors likely to rely on the return of Malen and Adeyemi to inject fresh life into them. While it would not be a surprise to see the hosts claim a positive result, we can envisage BVB snatching a tight victory and remain at least three points in front of Bayern in the table ahead of next weekend's meeting at Westfalenstadion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 39.61%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 36.35% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.39%) and 0-2 (5.78%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 2-1 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result
FC KolnDrawBorussia Dortmund
36.35% (-0.535 -0.54) 24.04% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 39.61% (0.539 0.54)
Both teams to score 61.22% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.84% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)41.16% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.44% (-0.032999999999994 -0.03)63.56% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.43% (-0.291 -0.29)22.57% (0.29 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.84% (-0.434 -0.43)56.16% (0.432 0.43)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.06% (0.24300000000001 0.24)20.94% (-0.244 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.32% (0.379 0.38)53.68% (-0.38200000000001 -0.38)
Score Analysis
    FC Koln 36.35%
    Borussia Dortmund 39.61%
    Draw 24.04%
FC KolnDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 8.19% (-0.07 -0.07)
1-0 @ 7.04% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-0 @ 5.24% (-0.084 -0.08)
3-1 @ 4.06% (-0.07 -0.07)
3-2 @ 3.18% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.6% (-0.064 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.51% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.18% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-0 @ 0.97% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 36.35%
1-1 @ 10.99%
2-2 @ 6.4% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.73% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.66% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 24.04%
1-2 @ 8.6% (0.065000000000001 0.07)
0-1 @ 7.39% (0.065 0.07)
0-2 @ 5.78% (0.093 0.09)
1-3 @ 4.48% (0.067 0.07)
2-3 @ 3.34% (0.021 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.01% (0.07 0.07)
1-4 @ 1.75% (0.038 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.3% (0.018 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.18% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 39.61%

How you voted: FC Koln vs Dortmund

FC Koln
15.1%
Draw
11.6%
Borussia Dortmund
73.3%
86
Head to Head
Mar 20, 2022 6.30pm
FC Koln
1-1
Dortmund
Andersson (36')
Ozcan (67'), Duda (76')
Wolf (8')
Wolf (30'), Witsel (43'), Can (47')
Oct 30, 2021 2.30pm
Dortmund
2-0
FC Koln
Hazard (40'), Tigges (64')
Meunier (51'), Bellingham (88')

Schmitz (11'), Hubers (56'), Ozcan (82')
Mar 20, 2021 2.30pm
FC Koln
2-2
Dortmund
Duda (35' pen.), Jakobs (65')
Jakobs (90+2')
Braut Haaland (3', 90')
Bellingham (34')
Nov 28, 2020 2.30pm
Dortmund
1-2
FC Koln
Hazard (74')
Can (54')
Skhiri (9', 60')
Skhiri (29'), Jakobs (90+1')
Jan 24, 2020 7.30pm
Dortmund
5-1
FC Koln
Guerreiro (1'), Reus (29'), Sancho (48'), Braut Haaland (77', 87')
Witsel (38')
Uth (65')
Bornauw (13')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202
> Bundesliga Full Table


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