Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 8

Oct 1, 2022 at 2.30pm UK

RheinEnergieStadion

FC Koln
3 - 2
Dortmund

Kainz (53'), Tigges (56'), Ljubicic (71')
Hubers (21'), Duda (25'), Schindler (79'), Huseinbasic (90')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Brandt (31'), Schmitz (78' og.)
Adeyemi (23'), Guerreiro (29'), Sule (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between FC Koln and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Koln

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: VfL Bochum 1-1 FC Koln
Sunday, September 18 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Dortmund 1-0 Schalke
Saturday, September 17 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: FC Koln 1-2 Borussia Dortmund

Koln have a real opportunity to pounce on Dortmund's mounting injury crisis, with the visitors likely to rely on the return of Malen and Adeyemi to inject fresh life into them. While it would not be a surprise to see the hosts claim a positive result, we can envisage BVB snatching a tight victory and remain at least three points in front of Bayern in the table ahead of next weekend's meeting at Westfalenstadion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 39.61%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 36.35% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.39%) and 0-2 (5.78%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 2-1 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result
FC Koln	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
36.35% ( -0.54)	24.04% ( -0)	39.61% ( 0.54)

Both teams to score 61.22% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.84% (

-0.03)

41.16% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.44% (

-0.03)

63.56% (

0.03)

FC Koln Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.43% (

-0.29)

22.57% (

0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.84% (

-0.43)

56.16% (

0.43)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.06% (

0.24)

20.94% (

-0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.32% (

0.38)

53.68% (

-0.38)

Score Analysis

FC Koln 36.35%

Borussia Dortmund 39.61%

Draw 24.04%

FC Koln	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 8.19% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 7.04% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 5.24% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 4.06% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 3.18% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.6% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.51% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.39% Total : 36.35%	1-1 @ 10.99% 2-2 @ 6.4% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.73% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.66% ( -0) Other @ 0.26% Total : 24.04%	1-2 @ 8.6% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 7.39% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 5.78% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 4.48% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 3.34% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 3.01% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 1.75% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.3% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.79% Total : 39.61%