We said: FC Koln 1-1 Union Berlin
With both sides competing in Europe on Thursday and unlikely to want to lose their unbeaten starts to the domestic season, we can envisage a stalemate on Sunday.
These teams both prefer to counter-attack, which may produce a cagey encounter at RheinEnergieStadion.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 47.26%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 28.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 0-1 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.