Having already been eliminated in Germany's premier cup competition, FC Koln will be taking this tournament even more seriously. With that in mind, we expect a strong showing from the home side, one which may lead to the tie effectively being over before the reverse fixture in Hungary. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 50.46%. A win for Fehervar had a probability of 27% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.68%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Fehervar win was 1-2 (6.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result
FC Koln	Draw	Fehervar
50.46% ( 0.15)	22.53% ( 0.03)	27% ( -0.18)

Both teams to score 62.04% (

-0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.89% (

-0.27)

38.1% (

0.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.63% (

-0.29)

60.37% (

0.29)

FC Koln Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.66% (

-0.05)

15.34% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.9% (

-0.09)

44.09% (

0.09)

Fehervar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.28% (

-0.27)

26.72% (

0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.02% (

-0.35)

61.98% (

0.34)

Score Analysis

FC Koln 50.46%

Fehervar 27%

Draw 22.53%

FC Koln	Draw	Fehervar
2-1 @ 9.51% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.68% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 7.2% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 5.94% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.5% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.92% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.78% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.11% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.84% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.04% ( -0) Other @ 3.93% Total : 50.46%	1-1 @ 10.14% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.27% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.1% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.3% Total : 22.53%	1-2 @ 6.69% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 5.41% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 3.57% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.94% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.18% Total : 27%