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Bundesliga | Gameweek 2
Aug 13, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Red Bull Arena
Koln logo

RB Leipzig
2 - 2
FC Koln

Werner (36'), Nkunku (56')
Henrichs (89')
Szoboszlai (45+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Dietz (40'), Gvardiol (72' og.)
Thielmann (18'), Hubers (48'), Adamyan (76'), Kainz (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and FC Koln, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: RB Leipzig 3-1 FC Koln

We expect a comfortable victory on home soil for Leipzig, whose fans will be buoyed by the return of Werner following his £25m move from Chelsea. Koln are a massively improved outfit under Baumgart but they were helped by Schalke's early dismissal last weekend, with Leipzig likely to have too much firepower for them. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 43.93%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 32.41% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.62%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 1-2 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
RB LeipzigDrawFC Koln
43.93% (-0.129 -0.13) 23.66% (-0.041 -0.04) 32.41% (0.167 0.17)
Both teams to score 61.56% (0.224 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.73% (0.26 0.26)40.27% (-0.264 -0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.36% (0.269 0.27)62.64% (-0.272 -0.27)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.35% (0.052000000000007 0.05)18.64% (-0.055 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.04% (0.088000000000001 0.09)49.96% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.67% (0.22500000000001 0.23)24.33% (-0.228 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.28% (0.318 0.32)58.72% (-0.321 -0.32)
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 43.93%
    FC Koln 32.41%
    Draw 23.66%
RB LeipzigDrawFC Koln
2-1 @ 9.04% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-0 @ 7.62% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-0 @ 6.4% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-1 @ 5.06% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 3.58% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.58% (0.021 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.13% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 1.5% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.5% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 43.93%
1-1 @ 10.77% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 6.39% (0.028 0.03)
0-0 @ 4.54% (-0.055000000000001 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.69% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.66%
1-2 @ 7.61% (0.021 0.02)
0-1 @ 6.41% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-2 @ 4.53% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 3.59% (0.033 0.03)
2-3 @ 3.01% (0.032 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.14% (0.016 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.27% (0.02 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.06% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 32.41%

How you voted: RB Leipzig vs FC Koln

RB Leipzig
90.7%
Draw
4.0%
FC Koln
5.3%
75
Head to Head
Feb 11, 2022 7.30pm
RB Leipzig
3-1
FC Koln
Nkunku (25'), Olmo (54'), Angelino (57')
Gvardiol (62')
Lemperle (90+1')
Thielmann (9'), Hubers (35')
Sep 18, 2021 5.30pm
Apr 20, 2021 5.30pm
FC Koln
2-1
RB Leipzig
Hector (46', 60')
Ehizibue (23'), Czichos (90+6')
Haidara (59')
Upamecano (56'), Kampl (83'), Haidara (90+6')
Dec 19, 2020 2.30pm
Jun 1, 2020 7.30pm
FC Koln
2-4
RB Leipzig
Cordoba (7'), Modeste (55')
Leistner (30'), Drexler (62')
Schick (20'), Nkunku (38'), Werner (50'), Olmo (57')
Forsberg (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202


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