Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 70.88%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for FC Koln had a probability of 11.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.84%) and 1-2 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.21%), while for a FC Koln win it was 1-0 (3.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.