Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 5

Sep 3, 2022 at 2.30pm UK

Wolfsburg
2 - 4
FC Koln

Nmecha (2', 79')
van de Ven (38'), Marmoush (82')

FT(HT: 1-3)

Ljubicic (22'), Otavio (32' og.), Kainz (45+2' pen.), Adamyan (81')
Duda (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Wolfsburg and FC Koln, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wolfsburg

Last Six:

Last Game: RB Leipzig 2-0 Wolfsburg
Saturday, August 27 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
14	Augsburg	4	-5	3
15	Wolfsburg	4	-4	2
16	Schalke 04	4	-7	2

FC Koln

Last Six:

Last Game: FC Koln 0-0 Stuttgart
Sunday, August 28 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
7	Mainz 05	4	-1	7
8	FC Koln	4	2	6
9	RB Leipzig	4	1	5

We said: Wolfsburg 1-1 FC Koln

Unlikely to be a high-scoring classic, given both sides' recent results in the Bundesliga, a close-fought draw could be on the cards. With their Conference League campaign kicking off next week amid the glamour of Nice, it may be that Koln take their eye off the ball and have to settle for a solitary point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 38.04%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 37.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.73%) and 0-2 (5.73%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 2-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Koln would win this match.

Result
Wolfsburg	Draw	FC Koln
37.46% ( 1.4)	24.51% ( -0.2)	38.04% ( -1.2)

Both teams to score 59.57% (

0.83)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.68% (

1.03)

43.33% (

-1.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.28% (

1.01)

65.72% (

-1.01)

Wolfsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.04% (

1.22)

22.97% (

-1.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.25% (

1.76)

56.75% (

-1.76)

FC Koln Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.33% (

-0.15)

22.67% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.69% (

-0.22)

56.31% (

0.22)

Score Analysis

Wolfsburg 37.46%

FC Koln 38.04%

Draw 24.5%

Wolfsburg	Draw	FC Koln
2-1 @ 8.36% ( 0.18) 1-0 @ 7.66% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 5.63% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 4.1% ( 0.23) 3-2 @ 3.04% ( 0.16) 3-0 @ 2.76% ( 0.17) 4-1 @ 1.51% ( 0.14) 4-2 @ 1.12% ( 0.1) 4-0 @ 1.02% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.25% Total : 37.46%	1-1 @ 11.36% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 6.21% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 5.21% ( -0.24) 3-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.5%	1-2 @ 8.44% ( -0.15) 0-1 @ 7.73% ( -0.39) 0-2 @ 5.73% ( -0.32) 1-3 @ 4.17% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 3.07% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 2.84% ( -0.17) 1-4 @ 1.55% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.32% Total : 38.04%