Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 2

Aug 14, 2022 at 4.30pm UK

Allianz Arena

Bayern
2 - 0
Wolfsburg

Musiala (33'), Muller (44')
Hernandez (15'), Ulreich (23')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Svanberg (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Wolfsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayern Munich

Last Six:

Last Game: Frankfurt 1-6 Bayern
Friday, August 5 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
3	FC Koln	2	2	4
4	Bayern Munich	1	5	3
5	Freiburg	2	2	3

Wolfsburg

Last Six:

Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-2 Werder Bremen
Saturday, August 6 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
12	Stuttgart	2	0	2
13	Wolfsburg	1	0	1
14	Schalke 04	2	-2	1

We said: Bayern Munich 4-0 Wolfsburg

With Nagelsmann's attacking players in exceptional form at present, we cannot see beyond a resounding Bayern victory on Sunday. Only a Neuer mistake prevented the Bavarians from keeping a clean sheet away to Frankfurt last week, so we expect them to achieve that on home soil this time around. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 76.94%. A draw had a probability of 13.2% and a win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 9.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 3-1 with a probability of 8.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.14%) and 3-0 (7.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.37%), while for a Wolfsburg win it was 1-2 (2.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern Munich	Draw	Wolfsburg
76.94% ( 0.07)	13.2% ( -0.04)	9.86% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 61.91% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

77.37% (

0.08)

22.62% (

-0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

58.25% (

0.12)

41.74% (

-0.12)

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

95.17% (

0.03)

4.82% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

80.55% (

0.08)

19.45% (

-0.08)

Wolfsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.05% (

0.01)

34.95% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.31% (

0.01)

71.69% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Bayern Munich 76.94%

Wolfsburg 9.86%

Draw 13.2%

Bayern Munich	Draw	Wolfsburg
3-1 @ 8.23% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.14% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 7.83% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.75% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 6.24% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 5.93% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 5.11% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 4.33% ( 0) 5-1 @ 3.78% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 3.6% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 3.28% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 1.99% ( 0.01) 6-1 @ 1.91% ( 0.01) 6-0 @ 1.82% ( 0.01) 4-3 @ 1.15% ( 0) 6-2 @ 1% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.85% Total : 76.94%	1-1 @ 5.37% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.28% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 1.69% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.52% ( 0) Other @ 0.34% Total : 13.2%	1-2 @ 2.82% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 1.77% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.5% ( -0) 1-3 @ 0.99% ( -0) 0-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.84% Total : 9.86%