Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 17

Dec 17, 2021 at 7.30pm UK

Allianz Arena

Bayern
4 - 0
Wolfsburg

Muller (7'), Upamecano (57'), Sane (59'), Lewandowski (87')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Wolfsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Bayern Munich 3-0 Wolfsburg

Facing Bayern off the back of six straight defeats is far from ideal for Wolfsburg, and we are finding it incredibly difficult to predict anything other than a comfortable victory for the reigning champions, who should have too much in the final third despite their absentees. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 82.74%. A draw had a probability of 11% and a win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 6.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.91%) and 3-1 (8.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5%), while for a Wolfsburg win it was 1-2 (1.96%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern Munich	Draw	Wolfsburg
82.74%	11.05%	6.21%

Both teams to score 51.81%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

74.39%

25.62%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

54.27%

45.74%

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

95.49%

4.51%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

81.51%

18.49%

Wolfsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.26%

45.74%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.48%

81.52%

Score Analysis

Bayern Munich 82.73%

Wolfsburg 6.21%

Draw 11.05%

Bayern Munich	Draw	Wolfsburg
3-0 @ 10.24% 2-0 @ 9.91% 3-1 @ 8.01% 4-0 @ 7.94% 2-1 @ 7.75% 1-0 @ 6.4% 4-1 @ 6.21% 5-0 @ 4.93% 5-1 @ 3.85% 3-2 @ 3.13% 6-0 @ 2.55% 4-2 @ 2.43% 6-1 @ 1.99% 5-2 @ 1.51% 7-0 @ 1.13% Other @ 4.75% Total : 82.73%	1-1 @ 5% 2-2 @ 3.03% 0-0 @ 2.06% Other @ 0.95% Total : 11.05%	1-2 @ 1.96% 0-1 @ 1.61% Other @ 2.65% Total : 6.21%