Champions League | Group Stage
Dec 8, 2021 at 8pm UK
Allianz Arena
Bayern3 - 0Barcelona
The Match
Team News
Barcelona attacker Ousmane Dembele will make his first start of the 2021-22 campaign against Bayern Munich.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Bayern Munich and Barcelona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Barcelona could line up for Wednesday's Champions League clash with Bayern Munich.
Injuries & Suspensions
Sports Mole rounds up all of Barcelona's injury and suspension news ahead of their Champions League clash with Bayern Munich.
We said: Bayern Munich 3-1 Barcelona
Barcelona have far more riding on this game than Bayern do, but it is difficult to see a Blaugrana team low on confidence and numbers springing any surprises at the Allianz Arena. Some expected changes in the home defence will aid Barca's prospects of making the net ripple, but Nagelsmann's side could very well condemn the Catalans to the unfamiliar territory of Europa League football this week. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 54.06%. A win for Barcelona had a probability of 24.14% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.79%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest Barcelona win was 1-2 (6.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bayern Munich | Draw | Barcelona |
| 54.06% | 21.8% | 24.14% |
| Both teams to score 61.64% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
