MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 11:38:28| >> :300:86500:86500:
Augsburg logo
Leverkusen logo
Bayern logo
Dortmund logo
Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Freiburg logo
Heidenheim
Hoffenheim logo
Mainz logo
Leipzig logo
Stuttgart
Union Berlin logo
VfL Bochum
Werder Bremen logo
Wolfsburg
Dortmund logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 14
Dec 4, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Signal Iduna Park
Bayern logo

Dortmund
2 - 3
Bayern

Brandt (5'), Braut Haaland (48')
Can (51'), Rose (55'), Rose (78'), Bellingham (86')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Lewandowski (9', 77' pen.), Coman (44')
Lewandowski (88'), Upamecano (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Borussia Dortmund 2-3 Bayern Munich

These giant clashes can tend to go one of two ways in terms of a tight affair with little action or an entertaining encounter with plenty of goals, but considering the 20 goals across the last four meetings, as well as Nagelsmann's high-risk approach at Bayern, we are predicting the latter for Saturday's spectacle. Despite the drop off in standards by Bayern in recent weeks, they can never be written off in Der Klassiker meetings, and for this reason we believe they will edge out a Dortmund side boosted by the return of Haaland. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 45.7%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 32.28% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.81%) and 1-3 (5.59%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-3 win for Bayern Munich in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Bayern Munich.

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawBayern Munich
32.28%22.02%45.7%
Both teams to score 67.7%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.8%32.2%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.2%53.8%
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.46%20.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.95%53.05%
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.2%14.8%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.93%43.07%
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 32.28%
    Bayern Munich 45.7%
    Draw 22.02%
Borussia DortmundDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 7.27%
1-0 @ 4.81%
3-1 @ 3.84%
2-0 @ 3.81%
3-2 @ 3.67%
3-0 @ 2.01%
4-1 @ 1.52%
4-2 @ 1.45%
4-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 32.28%
1-1 @ 9.19%
2-2 @ 6.95%
0-0 @ 3.04%
3-3 @ 2.34%
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 22.02%
1-2 @ 8.78%
0-1 @ 5.81%
1-3 @ 5.59%
0-2 @ 5.55%
2-3 @ 4.43%
0-3 @ 3.53%
1-4 @ 2.67%
2-4 @ 2.12%
0-4 @ 1.69%
3-4 @ 1.12%
1-5 @ 1.02%
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 45.7%

How you voted: Dortmund vs Bayern

Borussia Dortmund
22.3%
Draw
9.6%
Bayern Munich
68.1%
188
Head to Head
Aug 17, 2021 7.30pm
Final
Dortmund
1-3
Bayern
Reus (64')
Reus (25'), Dahoud (32')
Lewandowski (41', 74'), Muller (50')
Sule (23'), Sane (83'), Maxim Choupo-Moting (90+3')
Mar 6, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 24
Bayern
4-2
Dortmund
Lewandowski (26', 44' pen., 90'), Goretzka (88')
Lewandowski (28')
Braut Haaland (2', 9')
Meunier (29')
Nov 7, 2020 5.30pm
Gameweek 7
Dortmund
2-3
Bayern
Reus (45'), Braut Haaland (83')
Delaney (45+3'), Witsel (90+1')
Alaba (45+4'), Lewandowski (48'), Sane (80')
Kimmich (36'), Lewandowski (82')
Sep 30, 2020 7.30pm
DFL Supercup
Bayern
3-2
Dortmund
Tolisso (18'), Muller (32'), Kimmich (82')
Hernandez (66')
Brandt (39'), Braut Haaland (55')
May 26, 2020 5.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern97203272523
2RB Leipzig96211551020
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt95222314917
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen94412015516
5Borussia DortmundDortmund95131715216
6Freiburg95131311216
7Union BerlinUnion Berlin943298115
8Stuttgart93421716113
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach94141514113
10Werder Bremen93331520-512
11Augsburg93241320-711
12Heidenheim93151212010
13Mainz 05Mainz92431213-110
14Wolfsburg92341617-19
15St Pauli9225711-48
16Hoffenheim92251319-68
17Holstein Kiel91261123-125
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum9018929-201


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!