Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 11

Nov 6, 2021 at 5.30pm UK

Red Bull Arena

RB Leipzig
2 - 1
Dortmund

Nkunku (29'), Poulsen (68')
Adams (40'), Poulsen (65'), Szoboszlai (88')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Reus (52')
Bellingham (31'), Reus (31'), Witsel (38'), Meunier (55'), Moukoko (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 40.45%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 35.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.62%) and 2-0 (5.98%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for RB Leipzig in this match.

Result
RB Leipzig	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
40.45%	24.14%	35.4%

Both teams to score 60.72%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.25%

41.74%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.85%

64.15%

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.2%

20.79%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.54%

53.45%

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.66%

23.33%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.7%

57.29%

Score Analysis

RB Leipzig 40.45%

Borussia Dortmund 35.4%

Draw 24.13%

RB Leipzig	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 8.71% 1-0 @ 7.62% 2-0 @ 5.98% 3-1 @ 4.56% 3-2 @ 3.32% 3-0 @ 3.13% 4-1 @ 1.79% 4-2 @ 1.3% 4-0 @ 1.23% Other @ 2.81% Total : 40.45%	1-1 @ 11.08% 2-2 @ 6.34% 0-0 @ 4.85% 3-3 @ 1.61% Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.13%	1-2 @ 8.07% 0-1 @ 7.06% 0-2 @ 5.14% 1-3 @ 3.91% 2-3 @ 3.07% 0-3 @ 2.49% 1-4 @ 1.42% 2-4 @ 1.12% 0-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.21% Total : 35.4%