

Dortmund3 - 2RB Leipzig
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 39.01%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 35.99% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 1-2 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
Result | ||
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | RB Leipzig |
39.01% | 24.99% | 35.99% |
Both teams to score 57.71% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.31% | 45.69% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.99% | 68.01% |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.77% | 23.22% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.87% | 57.13% |
RB Leipzig Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.16% | 24.83% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.57% | 59.42% |
Score Analysis |
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | RB Leipzig |
2-1 @ 8.56% 1-0 @ 8.42% 2-0 @ 6.15% 3-1 @ 4.17% 3-0 @ 2.99% 3-2 @ 2.9% 4-1 @ 1.52% 4-0 @ 1.09% 4-2 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.15% Total : 39.01% | 1-1 @ 11.72% 2-2 @ 5.96% 0-0 @ 5.77% 3-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.98% | 1-2 @ 8.17% 0-1 @ 8.03% 0-2 @ 5.6% 1-3 @ 3.79% 2-3 @ 2.77% 0-3 @ 2.6% 1-4 @ 1.32% 2-4 @ 0.97% 0-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.85% Total : 35.99% |