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Bundesliga | Gameweek 32
May 8, 2021 at 2.30pm UK
Signal Iduna Park
Leipzig logo

Dortmund
3 - 2
RB Leipzig

Reus (7'), Sancho (51', 87')
Hummels (74')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Klostermann (63'), Olmo (77')
Haidara (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 39.01%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 35.99% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 1-2 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawRB Leipzig
39.01%24.99%35.99%
Both teams to score 57.71%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.31%45.69%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.99%68.01%
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.77%23.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.87%57.13%
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.16%24.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.57%59.42%
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 39.01%
    RB Leipzig 35.99%
    Draw 24.98%
Borussia DortmundDrawRB Leipzig
2-1 @ 8.56%
1-0 @ 8.42%
2-0 @ 6.15%
3-1 @ 4.17%
3-0 @ 2.99%
3-2 @ 2.9%
4-1 @ 1.52%
4-0 @ 1.09%
4-2 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 39.01%
1-1 @ 11.72%
2-2 @ 5.96%
0-0 @ 5.77%
3-3 @ 1.35%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.98%
1-2 @ 8.17%
0-1 @ 8.03%
0-2 @ 5.6%
1-3 @ 3.79%
2-3 @ 2.77%
0-3 @ 2.6%
1-4 @ 1.32%
2-4 @ 0.97%
0-4 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 35.99%

How you voted: Dortmund vs RB Leipzig

Borussia Dortmund
80.0%
Draw
10.5%
RB Leipzig
9.5%
105
Head to Head
Jan 9, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 15
RB Leipzig
1-3
Dortmund
Sorloth (90')
Sancho (55'), Braut Haaland (71', 84')
Delaney (32'), Akanji (73')
Jun 20, 2020 2.30pm
Dec 17, 2019 7.30pm
Jan 19, 2019 5.30pm
Gameweek 18
RB Leipzig
0-1
Dortmund

Konate (40'), Upamecano (67'), Kampl (90')
Witsel (19')
Sancho (84'), Burki (90')
Aug 26, 2018 5pm
Gameweek 1
Dortmund
4-1
RB Leipzig
Dahoud (21'), Sabitzer (40' og.), Witsel (43'), Reus (90')
Diallo (68'), Dahoud (75')
Augustin (1')
Upamecano (7'), Saracchi (23')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern15113147133436
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1595137211632
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1583435231227
4RB Leipzig158342420427
5Mainz 05Mainz157442820825
6Borussia DortmundDortmund157442822625
7Werder Bremen157442625125
8Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach157352520524
9Freiburg157352124-324
10Stuttgart156542925423
11Wolfsburg156363228421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin154561419-517
13Augsburg154471732-1516
14St Pauli154291219-714
15Hoffenheim153572028-814
16Heidenheim1531111833-1510
17Holstein Kiel1522111938-198
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1513111335-226


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