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Bundesliga | Gameweek 32
May 8, 2021 at 2.30pm UK
Signal Iduna Park
Leipzig logo

Dortmund
3 - 2
RB Leipzig

Reus (7'), Sancho (51', 87')
Hummels (74')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Klostermann (63'), Olmo (77')
Haidara (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 39.01%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 35.99% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 1-2 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawRB Leipzig
39.01%24.99%35.99%
Both teams to score 57.71%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.31%45.69%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.99%68.01%
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.77%23.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.87%57.13%
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.16%24.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.57%59.42%
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 39.01%
    RB Leipzig 35.99%
    Draw 24.98%
Borussia DortmundDrawRB Leipzig
2-1 @ 8.56%
1-0 @ 8.42%
2-0 @ 6.15%
3-1 @ 4.17%
3-0 @ 2.99%
3-2 @ 2.9%
4-1 @ 1.52%
4-0 @ 1.09%
4-2 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 39.01%
1-1 @ 11.72%
2-2 @ 5.96%
0-0 @ 5.77%
3-3 @ 1.35%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.98%
1-2 @ 8.17%
0-1 @ 8.03%
0-2 @ 5.6%
1-3 @ 3.79%
2-3 @ 2.77%
0-3 @ 2.6%
1-4 @ 1.32%
2-4 @ 0.97%
0-4 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 35.99%

How you voted: Dortmund vs RB Leipzig

Borussia Dortmund
Draw
RB Leipzig
Borussia Dortmund
80.0%
Draw
10.5%
RB Leipzig
9.5%
105
Head to Head
Jan 9, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 15
RB Leipzig
1-3
Dortmund
Sorloth (90')
Sancho (55'), Braut Haaland (71', 84')
Delaney (32'), Akanji (73')
Jun 20, 2020 2.30pm
Dec 17, 2019 7.30pm
Jan 19, 2019 5.30pm
Gameweek 18
RB Leipzig
0-1
Dortmund

Konate (40'), Upamecano (67'), Kampl (90')
Witsel (19')
Sancho (84'), Burki (90')
Aug 26, 2018 5pm
Gameweek 1
Dortmund
4-1
RB Leipzig
Dahoud (21'), Sabitzer (40' og.), Witsel (43'), Reus (90')
Diallo (68'), Dahoud (75')
Augustin (1')
Upamecano (7'), Saracchi (23')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern26195275245162
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen26168259332656
3Mainz 05Mainz26136744281645
4Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt26136754401445
5RB Leipzig2611964133842
6Freiburg2612683638-242
7Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach26124104340340
8Wolfsburg2610884940938
9Augsburg2610882935-638
10Stuttgart2610794743437
11Borussia DortmundDortmund26105114541435
12Werder Bremen2696114053-1333
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin2677122438-1428
14Hoffenheim2668123248-1626
15St Pauli2674152030-1025
16Heidenheim2654173152-2119
17VfL BochumVfL Bochum2646162653-2718
18Holstein Kiel2645173864-2617


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