Bundesliga | Gameweek 13
Nov 27, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
Bayern1 - 0Arminia Bielefeld
We said: Bayern Munich 5-0 Arminia Bielefeld
Instead of trying to predict the outcome of this match, many will instead be trying to predict how wide the winning margin will be for Bayern over Bielefeld. Many visitors stand little chance of achieving any kind of a result at the Allianz Arena, so considering the struggles of Bielefeld, it will largely be a task of damage limitation on Saturday, but we are predicting a thoroughly comprehensive victory for Bayern to returning to winning ways in the Bundesliga. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 87.24%. A draw had a probability of 8.4% and a win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 4.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (8.92%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.7%), while for an Arminia Bielefeld win it was 1-2 (1.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bayern Munich | Draw | Arminia Bielefeld |
| 87.24% | 8.42% | 4.34% |
| Both teams to score 51.53% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
