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Bayern logo
Champions League | Group Stage
Nov 2, 2021 at 8pm UK
Allianz Arena
Benfica

Bayern
5 - 2
Benfica

Lewandowski (26', 61', 84'), Gnabry (32'), Sane (49')
Upamecano (51'), Kouassi (69')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Morato (38'), Nunez (74')
Verissimo (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Bayern Munich and Benfica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 48.98%. A win for Benfica had a probability of 27.4% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Benfica win was 1-2 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawBenfica
48.98%23.62%27.4%
Both teams to score 58.54%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.12%42.87%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.72%65.28%
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.35%17.65%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.74%48.26%
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.08%28.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.21%64.79%
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 48.98%
    Benfica 27.4%
    Draw 23.61%
Bayern MunichDrawBenfica
2-1 @ 9.53%
1-0 @ 8.85%
2-0 @ 7.68%
3-1 @ 5.51%
3-0 @ 4.44%
3-2 @ 3.42%
4-1 @ 2.39%
4-0 @ 1.93%
4-2 @ 1.48%
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 48.98%
1-1 @ 10.98%
2-2 @ 5.91%
0-0 @ 5.1%
3-3 @ 1.41%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.61%
1-2 @ 6.81%
0-1 @ 6.33%
0-2 @ 3.93%
1-3 @ 2.82%
2-3 @ 2.44%
0-3 @ 1.63%
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 27.4%

How you voted: Bayern vs Benfica

Bayern Munich
87.0%
Draw
8.1%
Benfica
4.9%
246
Head to Head
Oct 20, 2021 8pm
Group Stage
Benfica
0-4
Bayern

Otamendi (45'), Mario (51')
Sane (70', 84'), Everton (80' og.), Lewandowski (82')
Upamecano (56'), Hernandez (59')
Nov 27, 2018 8pm
Group Stage
Bayern
5-1
Benfica
Robben (13', 30'), Lewandowski (36', 51'), Ribery (76')
Robben (24'), Ribery (33')
Fernandes (46')
Semedo (87')
Sep 19, 2018 8pm
Group Stage
Benfica
0-2
Bayern

Fejsa (22'), Jardel (39')
Lewandowski (10'), Sanches (54')
Kimmich (18'), Hummels (52')
Apr 13, 2016 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Benfica
2-2
Bayern
Apr 5, 2016 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Bayern
1-0
Benfica
rhs 2.0
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5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
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7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
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18Crystal Palace11146815-77
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20Southampton11119721-144


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