Champions League | Group Stage
Nov 2, 2021 at 8pm UK
Allianz Arena
Bayern5 - 2Benfica
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 48.98%. A win for Benfica had a probability of 27.4% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Benfica win was 1-2 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bayern Munich | Draw | Benfica |
| 48.98% | 23.62% | 27.4% |
| Both teams to score 58.54% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.12% | 42.87% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.72% | 65.28% |
| Bayern Munich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.35% | 17.65% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 51.74% | 48.26% |
| Benfica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.08% | 28.91% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.21% | 64.79% |
| Score Analysis |
Bayern Munich 48.98%
Benfica 27.4%
Draw 23.61%
| Bayern Munich | Draw | Benfica |
| 2-1 @ 9.53% 1-0 @ 8.85% 2-0 @ 7.68% 3-1 @ 5.51% 3-0 @ 4.44% 3-2 @ 3.42% 4-1 @ 2.39% 4-0 @ 1.93% 4-2 @ 1.48% Other @ 3.78% Total : 48.98% | 1-1 @ 10.98% 2-2 @ 5.91% 0-0 @ 5.1% 3-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.61% | 1-2 @ 6.81% 0-1 @ 6.33% 0-2 @ 3.93% 1-3 @ 2.82% 2-3 @ 2.44% 0-3 @ 1.63% Other @ 3.44% Total : 27.4% |
How you voted: Bayern vs Benfica
Bayern Munich
87.0%Draw
8.1%Benfica
4.9%246
Head to Head
Oct 20, 2021 8pm
Group Stage
Benfica
0-4
Bayern
Nov 27, 2018 8pm
Group Stage
Bayern
5-1
Benfica
Sep 19, 2018 8pm
Group Stage
Benfica
0-2
Bayern
Apr 13, 2016 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Benfica
2-2
Bayern
Apr 5, 2016 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Bayern
1-0
Benfica
